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Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Jimenez J.
73'
Jimenez J.
90' Event
Guevara D.

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo in this Primera Division matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luis Angel Firpo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Luis Angel Firpo
20%
Draws
42%
Aguila
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aguila

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Aguila at 1.7 per game, Luis Angel Firpo at 1.66.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Luis Angel Firpo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%
Aguila Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Aguila
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.66 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
2:0
Jul 26, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:1
May 17, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Aguila
0:2
May 13, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
May 1, 2026 Primera Division
Aguila vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Top Goalscorer Jimenez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guevara D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Aguila Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 50 / 100
Aguila 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Aguila

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Luis Angel Firpo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Aguila's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Aguila
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
11 Oct
Municipal Limeno
2 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
Page 1 of 6

Aguila

(Away)
11 Oct
Aguila
3 : 0
Metapan
03 Oct
Aguila
4 : 1
Cacahuatique
30 Sept
Aguila
2 : 1
Inter Santa Tecla
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
20 Sept
Platense Municipal
0 : 1
Aguila
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luis Angel Firpo 14 8 4 2 26:11 28
2 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
3 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 15 5 2 8 21:22 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)