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Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division
Thu, Sep 17, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luis Angel Firpo host Alianza FC in the Primera Division. Little to choose between these two on current form. Alianza FC have shipped 1.35 goals a game lately, while Luis Angel Firpo have conceded 0.89 and scored 1.54. Past meetings favor Luis Angel Firpo slightly — 1-0-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 14, 2026, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.13) point toward Luis Angel Firpo. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: NG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Luis Angel Firpo
35%
Draws
23%
Alianza FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Alianza FC haven't matched Luis Angel Firpo's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Luis Angel Firpo's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%
Alianza FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Alianza FC
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.54 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 14, 2026 Copa Presidente
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 7, 2026 Copa Presidente
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Oct 4, 2026 Primera Division
Alianza FC vs Luis Angel Firpo
2:2
Sep 17, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
0:0
Mar 22, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Alianza FC
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 68 / 100
Alianza FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Alianza FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luis Angel Firpo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luis Angel Firpo's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Luis Angel Firpo has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Alianza FC let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Alianza FC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 3
Luis Angel Firpo
27 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 0
Aguila
24 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 0
Cacahuatique
20 Sept
Luis Angel Firpo
3 : 1
Atletico Balboa
Page 1 of 6

Alianza FC

(Away)
09 Oct
FAS
2 : 1
Alianza FC
04 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 Oct
Alianza FC
2 : 1
Platense Municipal
27 Sept
Alianza FC
1 : 1
Inca Aruba
24 Sept
Alianza FC
2 : 2
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FAS 13 8 3 2 24:12 27
2 Metapan 13 8 2 3 20:12 26
3 Luis Angel Firpo 13 7 4 2 23:9 25
4 Inter Santa Tecla 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
5 Aguila 14 5 5 4 22:18 20
6 Platense Municipal 15 5 4 6 19:20 19
7 Alianza FC 13 4 6 3 20:19 18
8 Municipal Limeno 14 5 2 7 19:19 17
9 Inca Aruba 15 4 4 7 13:27 16
10 Atletico Balboa 14 3 4 7 15:22 13
11 Fuerte San Francisco 15 2 6 7 11:24 12
12 Cacahuatique 15 2 5 8 15:26 11
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division (Apertura - Play Offs)