Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Urrutia J.
58' Event
Guerra S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2025/2026 game between Luis Angel Firpo and Metapan finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Metapan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luis Angel Firpo
33%
Draws
27%
Metapan
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luis Angel Firpo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Luis Angel Firpo carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Luis Angel Firpo a 40% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Luis Angel Firpo Clean Sheet 68%
Metapan Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luis Angel Firpo Metapan
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 8
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
1:1
May 7, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:2
Apr 16, 2026 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
0:2
Feb 19, 2026 Primera Division
Metapan vs Luis Angel Firpo
1:0
Nov 2, 2025 Primera Division
Luis Angel Firpo vs Metapan
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luis Angel Firpo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Metapan Compare

Top Goalscorer Urrutia J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guerra S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luis Angel Firpo 50 / 100
Metapan 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luis Angel Firpo Metapan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LAF Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luis Angel Firpo scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Metapan conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Luis Angel Firpo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luis Angel Firpo VS Metapan
1.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luis Angel Firpo

(Home)
17 May
Luis Angel Firpo
0 : 2
Aguila
13 May
Aguila
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Aguila
1 : 1
Luis Angel Firpo
Page 1 of 6

Metapan

(Away)
25 Jul
Cacahuatique
2 : 4
Metapan
10 May
Luis Angel Firpo
1 : 1
Metapan
07 May
Metapan
1 : 2
Luis Angel Firpo
01 May
Hercules
3 : 0
Metapan
26 Apr
Metapan
1 : 3
Fuerte San Francisco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FAS22165149:1653
2Luis Angel Firpo22135434:2044
3Alianza FC22114736:3037
4Inter Santa Tecla22106627:2536
5Municipal Limeno22105733:2135
6Aguila22105727:2435
7Metapan2269723:3027
8Cacahuatique2268824:2826
9Platense Municipal22481024:3120
10Hercules22471127:4319
11Fuerte San Francisco22281218:3514
12Zacatecoluca FC22341523:4213
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)