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Lukavec vs Gaj Mace

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
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AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Lukavec and Gaj Mace finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Lukavec
20%
Draws
60%
Gaj Mace
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gaj Mace

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gaj Mace come out ahead of Lukavec on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Lukavec's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Lukavec Clean Sheet 10%
Gaj Mace Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lukavec Gaj Mace
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 5, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lukavec vs Gaj Mace
2:2
Sep 3, 2021 3. HNL Center
Gaj Mace vs Lukavec
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lukavec 40 / 100
Gaj Mace 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lukavec Gaj Mace

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gaj Mace's defensive record shows goals conceded in 81% of 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Lukavec found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Away concern: Gaj Mace has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lukavec VS Gaj Mace
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.86 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
71% Over 2.5 75%
14% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lukavec

(Home)
12 Feb
Belisce
2 : 1
Lukavec
28 May
HASK
3 : 0
Lukavec
21 May
Lukavec
0 : 3
Trnje
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
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Gaj Mace

(Away)
09 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 7
Varazdin
27 Aug
Spansko
0 : 1
Gaj Mace
11 Sept
Gaj Mace
1 : 2
Varazdin
27 Aug
Gaj Mace
2 : 1
Karlovac
31 Aug
Bjelovar
1 : 0
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)