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Stadium Background

Lukavec vs Tresnjevka

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Lukavec Logo

Lukavec

3 - 1
FT
Tresnjevka Logo

Tresnjevka

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Lukavec and Tresnjevka finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lukavec.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lukavec
30%
Draws
54%
Tresnjevka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Tresnjevka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Lukavec have managed 1.17 goals a game lately — Tresnjevka are scoring more at 1.57.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 3. HNL Center form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lukavec Clean Sheet 10%
Tresnjevka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lukavec Tresnjevka
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 1.17 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.07 2.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lukavec vs Tresnjevka
3:1
Oct 2, 2021 3. HNL Center
Tresnjevka vs Lukavec
2:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lukavec 30 / 100
Tresnjevka 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lukavec Tresnjevka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tresnjevka Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tresnjevka conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Lukavec found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Lukavec went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lukavec VS Tresnjevka
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lukavec

(Home)
12 Feb
Belisce
2 : 1
Lukavec
28 May
HASK
3 : 0
Lukavec
21 May
Lukavec
0 : 3
Trnje
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
14 May
Lukavec
1 : 1
Vrapce
Page 1 of 6

Tresnjevka

(Away)
22 Jul
Tresnjevka
1 : 1
Zagorec Krapina
28 May
Karlovac
5 : 0
Tresnjevka
21 May
Tresnjevka
4 : 0
Kurilovec
18 May
Vrbovec
4 : 1
Tresnjevka
14 May
Tresnjevka
5 : 3
Gaj Mace
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)