Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lumezzane vs Sona

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Sperti L.

AI Match Summary

Lumezzane in this Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lumezzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Lumezzane
35%
Draws
40%
Sona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sona

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lumezzane lately — more wins on the board than Sona.
  • 25% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 20%
Sona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane Sona
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 14 5
Draws 11 8
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.22 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group B
Lumezzane vs Sona
1:0
Sep 28, 2022 Serie D - Group B
Sona vs Lumezzane
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Sperti L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Sona Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 31 / 100
Sona 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane Sona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumezzane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Sona conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Lumezzane has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS -
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
17 Sept
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Novara
13 Sept
Lumezzane
2 : 2
Renate
06 Sept
Cittadella
2 : 1
Lumezzane
30 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Giana Erminio
22 Aug
Ospitaletto
2 : 0
Lumezzane
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Sona

(Away)
07 May
Ponte San Pietro
3 : 3
Sona
30 Apr
Sona
1 : 1
Real Calepina
23 Apr
Sona
3 : 2
Varesina
16 Apr
Seregno Calcio
3 : 1
Sona
06 Apr
Sona
2 : 0
Caronnese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lumezzane 34 24 5 5 67:20 77
2 Alcione Milano 34 21 8 5 67:31 71
3 USD Casatese 34 16 11 7 38:26 59
4 Arconatese 34 16 9 9 54:37 57
5 Desenzano Calvina 34 15 8 11 47:41 53
6 Franciacorta 34 13 11 10 44:43 50
7 Ponte San Pietro 34 11 16 7 47:38 49
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 34 14 6 14 42:40 48
9 Brusaporto 34 12 11 11 43:38 47
10 Varesina 34 13 7 14 47:50 46
11 Villa Valle 34 9 14 11 40:47 41
12 Real Calepina 34 7 18 9 30:33 39
13 Folgore Caratese 34 10 9 15 37:46 39
14 Seregno Calcio 34 10 11 13 42:56 38
15 Breno 34 10 7 17 35:50 37
16 Varese FC 34 8 9 17 30:46 33
17 Sona 34 6 9 19 28:56 27
18 Caronnese 34 2 9 23 24:64 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B 2022/2023 (Play Out)