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Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tullio Saleri, Lumezzane
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Gatti C.
22' Event
Anatriello G.
29' Event
Caccavo L.

AI Match Summary

The Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 game between Lumezzane and Virtus Verona finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lumezzane.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lumezzane
35%
Draws
19%
Virtus Verona
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lumezzane

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lumezzane come out ahead of Virtus Verona on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Lumezzane taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lumezzane Clean Sheet 20%
Virtus Verona Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane Virtus Verona
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 1
Draws 13 12
Losses 5 17
Goals Scored 1.13 0.7
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona
4:1
Dec 20, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Lumezzane
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona
0:3
Aug 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Virtus Verona vs Lumezzane
0:1
Mar 23, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Lumezzane vs Virtus Verona
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lumezzane Compare

Top Goalscorer Anatriello G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Caccavo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Virtus Verona Compare

Top Goalscorer Patane N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane 58 / 100
Virtus Verona 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane Virtus Verona

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lumezzane Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Virtus Verona let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Lumezzane scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lumezzane went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lumezzane VS Virtus Verona
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lumezzane

(Home)
15 Aug
Lumezzane
2 : 3
Renate
08 Aug
Lumezzane
1 : 0
Crema
01 Aug
Cremonese
0 : 0
Lumezzane
06 May
Cittadella
1 : 0
Lumezzane
03 May
Lumezzane
0 : 0
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

Virtus Verona

(Away)
07 Aug
Sudtirol
1 : 0
Virtus Verona
29 Jul
Dolomiti Bellunesi
1 : 1
Virtus Verona
22 Jul
Verona
2 : 1
Virtus Verona
25 Apr
Lumezzane
4 : 1
Virtus Verona
19 Apr
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Alcione Milano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)