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Lumezzane W vs Bologna W

Italy Italy

Serie B Women Tullio Saleri
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lumezzane W play Bologna W in the Serie B Women. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lumezzane W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1 conceded. Bologna W averaged 2 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Lumezzane W won 2, Bologna W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 21, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Lumezzane W and 0.88 for Bologna W. This points to a Lumezzane W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Lumezzane W
19%
Draws
32%
Bologna W
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Lumezzane W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Lumezzane W picked up more points recently compared to Bologna W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 64%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64%
Lumezzane W Clean Sheet 25%
Bologna W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lumezzane W Bologna W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 20 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.9 2
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Serie B Women
Lumezzane W vs Bologna W
2:1
Oct 11, 2025 Serie B Women
Bologna W vs Lumezzane W
1:3
Apr 13, 2025 Serie B Women
Bologna W vs Lumezzane W
1:0
Nov 17, 2024 Serie B Women
Lumezzane W vs Bologna W
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lumezzane W 49 / 100
Bologna W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lumezzane W Bologna W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Lumezzane W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +19.6%
2.44
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.1%
1.72
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lumezzane W attacking → ← attacking Bologna W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lumezzane W scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Bologna W let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Lumezzane W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bologna W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

65 Points in last 5 47
1.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Como 1907 W26223172:2069
2Lumezzane W26184452:2458
3Cesena W26172763:3353
4Bologna W26134950:3843
5Freedom W26119650:4342
6RES Roma W26126852:4342
7Frosinone W26961136:4333
8Vicenza W26961133:3633
9Brescia W26951237:4332
10Arezzo W26851329:4329
11San Marino Academy W26841435:5428
12Hellas Verona W26471528:4819
13Venezia W26441830:7116
14Trastevere Calcio W26351822:5014