Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luminense vs Sao Luis

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luminense in this Maranhense 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luminense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Luminense
20%
Draws
51%
Sao Luis
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Luis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sao Luis lately — more wins on the board than Luminense.
  • Win probability leans Sao Luis's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Luminense here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Luminense Clean Sheet 24%
Sao Luis Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luminense Sao Luis
Matches Played 16 25
Wins 9 12
Draws 3 5
Losses 4 8
Goals Scored 1.19 2.04
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Maranhense 2
Luminense vs Sao Luis
2:0
Oct 15, 2025 Maranhense 2
Sao Luis vs Luminense
1:0
Oct 1, 2025 Maranhense 2
Luminense vs Sao Luis
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luminense 25 / 100
Sao Luis 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luminense Sao Luis

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sao Luis Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luminense found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (16 games).

Sao Luis's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 25 matches.

Games between these two average 2.33 goals.

Recent resilience: Luminense stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luminense VS Sao Luis
0.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luminense

(Home)
01 Feb
Maranhao
1 : 0
Luminense
28 Jan
ITZ Sport
0 : 2
Luminense
25 Jan
Sampaio Correa
1 : 1
Luminense
22 Jan
Luminense
0 : 1
IAPE
18 Jan
Luminense
0 : 3
Moto Club
Page 1 of 4

Sao Luis

(Away)
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
02 Jul
Sao Luis
3 : 0
Americano Bacabal
27 Jun
Sao Jose (MA)
0 : 2
Sao Luis
17 Jun
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Araioses
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luminense 4 3 1 0 9:1 10
2 Sao Luis 4 2 1 1 13:4 7
3 Americano Bacabal 4 2 0 2 5:9 6
4 Tupan 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
5 Expressinho 4 0 0 4 2:17 0
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lago Verde 4 3 1 0 10:4 10
2 Timon EC (MA) 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
3 Sao Jose (MA) 4 0 1 3 2:8 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ITZ Sport 4 3 1 0 7:3 10
2 Cordino EC 4 2 0 2 5:6 6
3 Balsas 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Maranhense 2 2025 (Play Offs)