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Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Södra Klostergardens Idrottsplats, Lund
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Nilsson A.
Assist: Wendt R.
25'
Nygaard A.
40'
Karlsson V.

AI Match Summary

Lunds Bois in this Division 1 - Södra matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lunds Bois.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Lunds Bois
15%
Draws
12%
Tvaaker
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lunds Bois

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Tvaaker haven't matched Lunds Bois's recent run of results.
  • Lunds Bois are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Södra form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lunds Bois have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lunds Bois Clean Sheet 20%
Tvaaker Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lunds Bois Tvaaker
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 1.89 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.15 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker
1:0
Oct 5, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Lunds Bois
0:1
May 19, 2024 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker
1:0
Oct 21, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Tvaaker vs Lunds Bois
2:1
Apr 1, 2023 Division 1 - Södra
Lunds Bois vs Tvaaker
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lunds Bois Compare

Top Goalscorer Nilsson A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Tvaaker Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lunds Bois 67 / 100
Tvaaker 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lunds Bois Tvaaker

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lunds Bois Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lunds Bois found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (27 games).

Tvaaker let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Tvaaker's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Lunds Bois VS Tvaaker
2.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lunds Bois

(Home)
02 Oct
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Laholms
25 Sept
Lunds Bois
0 : 1
Kristianstad
19 Sept
Atvidaberg
1 : 0
Lunds Bois
16 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Angelholm
11 Sept
Lunds Bois
2 : 0
Rosengard
Page 1 of 6

Tvaaker

(Away)
03 Oct
Tvaaker
1 : 2
Hassleholms IF
26 Sept
Trollhattan
4 : 2
Tvaaker
20 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 1
Trelleborg
17 Sept
Eskilsminne
4 : 2
Tvaaker
12 Sept
Tvaaker
0 : 0
AFC Malmo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Trelleborg 25 16 6 3 55:28 54
2 Atvidaberg 25 13 7 5 49:35 46
3 Hassleholms IF 25 14 3 8 46:30 45
4 Lunds Bois 25 11 8 6 46:29 41
5 AFC Malmo 25 11 8 6 45:35 41
6 Trollhattan 25 10 8 7 42:37 38
7 Rosengard 25 10 8 7 41:37 38
8 Jonkoping 25 9 6 10 29:26 33
9 Tvaaker 25 9 6 10 33:39 33
10 Skovde 25 8 9 8 31:38 33
11 Eskilsminne 25 9 5 11 40:44 32
12 Olympic 25 9 3 13 41:48 30
13 Kristianstad 25 7 6 12 29:37 27
14 Laholms 25 7 4 14 32:43 25
15 Angelholm 25 4 9 12 31:47 21
16 Utsikten 25 2 6 17 23:60 12
Promotion - Superettan 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 - Norra (Promotion)
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra (Relegation - Play Offs)