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Luparense FC vs Clodiense - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Chiesurin A.
73' Event
Diallo C.
80' Event
Diallo C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Luparense FC and Clodiense finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Luparense FC
20%
Draws
36%
Clodiense
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Clodiense come out ahead of Luparense FC on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Clodiense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Clodiense
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 16
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Clodiense
3:0
Feb 8, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Luparense FC
1:0
Oct 4, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Clodiense
2:2
Apr 21, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Clodiense vs Luparense FC
1:0
Dec 10, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Clodiense
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Chiesurin A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Clodiense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 95 / 100
Clodiense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Clodiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Luparense FC stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Luparense FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Clodiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Clodiense
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
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Clodiense

(Away)
07 Oct
Clodiense
2 : 1
Campodarsego
04 Oct
Clodiense
0 : 1
Calcio San Dona
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Brian Lignano
3 : 5
Clodiense
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)