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Luparense FC vs Este - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Diallo C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Luparense FC and Este finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Luparense FC
30%
Draws
19%
Este
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luparense FC come out ahead of Este on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Luparense FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Este Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Este
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.31 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.03 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Este
1:0
May 3, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Luparense FC
2:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Este
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Este
2:0
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group C
Este vs Luparense FC
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Este Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 95 / 100
Este 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Este

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Luparense FC scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Este conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Este
1.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
12 Sept
Mestre
1 : 1
Luparense FC
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Este

(Away)
07 Oct
Este
0 : 2
Caldiero Terme
04 Oct
Este
2 : 1
Conegliano
27 Sept
Calcio San Dona
0 : 0
Este
20 Sept
Este
1 : 2
Cjarlins Muzane
16 Sept
Clodiense
1 : 0
Este
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)