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Luparense FC vs Legnago Salus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Mazzaroppi S.
14' Event
Fusco A.
30' Event
Marangon G.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C game between Luparense FC and Legnago Salus finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Luparense FC
15%
Draws
35%
Legnago Salus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Legnago Salus carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Luparense FC a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 20%
Legnago Salus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Legnago Salus
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.28 1.86
Goals Conceded 1 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Legnago Salus
3:1
Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Legnago Salus
1:2
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Luparense FC
1:2
Apr 30, 2023 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Legnago Salus
1:0
Dec 17, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Legnago Salus vs Luparense FC
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fusco A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marangon G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Legnago Salus Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzaroppi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 85 / 100
Legnago Salus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Legnago Salus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Luparense FC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Luparense FC's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Legnago Salus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Legnago Salus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
11 Oct
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Este
04 Oct
Brian Lignano
1 : 3
Luparense FC
27 Sept
Luparense FC
3 : 0
Clodiense
20 Sept
Schio
0 : 0
Luparense FC
16 Sept
Luparense FC
4 : 0
Virtus Bolzano
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Legnago Salus

(Away)
11 Oct
Cjarlins Muzane
0 : 4
Legnago Salus
04 Oct
Legnago Salus
0 : 2
Bassano Virtus
27 Sept
Campodarsego
0 : 1
Legnago Salus
20 Sept
Legnago Salus
0 : 1
Calvi Noale
16 Sept
Altavilla
2 : 3
Legnago Salus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cjarlins Muzane 6 5 0 1 17:5 15
2 Luparense FC 6 4 2 0 14:3 14
3 Calcio San Dona 6 3 2 1 6:4 11
4 Mestre 6 2 4 0 9:6 10
5 Campodarsego 6 3 1 2 10:8 10
6 Clodiense 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
7 Bassano Virtus 6 2 3 1 6:3 9
8 Calvi Noale 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Lavarian Mortean Esperia 6 2 2 2 5:7 8
10 Este 6 2 1 3 5:5 7
11 Legnago Salus 6 2 1 3 6:9 7
12 Conegliano 6 2 1 3 3:7 7
13 Altavilla 6 1 3 2 14:9 6
14 Triestina 6 1 3 2 6:8 6
15 Virtus Bolzano 6 2 0 4 5:18 6
16 FC Obermais 6 1 2 3 6:11 5
17 Schio 6 0 4 2 3:6 4
18 Brian Lignano 6 1 0 5 7:14 3
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)