Sport Picks

Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D

Luparense FC

Wed, Oct 8, 2025

0 - 1

01:00 PM

Mestre

Our Tip

Match Events

74'

Kola D.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Mestre in this Coppa Italia Serie D matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mestre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Luparense FC

33%

Draws

27%

Mestre

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Mestre lately — more wins on the board than Luparense FC.
Win probability leans Luparense FC's way, sitting at 40%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%

Mestre Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Luparense FC	Mestre
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	9	15
Draws	11	11
Losses	10	8
Goals Scored	1.5	1
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Mestre

Possession: 42% - 58% Cards: 2 - 3

1:2

Nov 30, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Mestre vs Luparense FC

Possession: 44% - 53% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Oct 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Serie D

Luparense FC vs Mestre

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Mar 23, 2025 Serie D - Group C

Mestre vs Luparense FC

Possession: 56% - 44% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Nov 10, 2024 Serie D - Group C

Luparense FC vs Mestre

Possession: 44% - 45% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 50 / 100

Mestre 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Luparense FC Mestre

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Luparense FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Mestre has conceded goals in 59% of their last 34 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Mestre

1.5 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5

100% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

13% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals

Asti Calcio2

Chisola0

Ligorna1

NovaRomentin2

Vado3

Sestri Levante0

Tau1

Pistoiese3

Piacenza2

SCD Progresso1

Pavia2

Sant'Angelo0

Prato2

Montevarchi1

Correggese2

Imolese1

Sondrio1

Breno0

Folgore Caratese2

Club Milano3

AC Milan U232

Varesina3

Brusaporto0

Ciserano-Bergamo1

Chievo0

Rovato Vertovese1

Este3

Vigasio2

Cjarlins Muzane1

Brian Lignano2

Luparense FC0

Mestre1

Fossombrone0

Ancona1

Foligno0

Atletico Ascoli2

Orvietana2

Siena0

Follonica Gavorrano0

Valmontone1

Notaresco Calcio2

Termoli0

Albalonga2

Aquila Calcio1

Grosseto0

Unipomezia1

Trastevere Calcio2

Budoni Calcio0

Martina Calcio3

Sarnese1

Ferrandina2

Francavilla3

A.C. Savoia2

Paganese1

Citta di Fasano3

Gravina0

Nocerina4

Gelbison2

Sambiase0

Reggina1

Castrumfavara3

Igea Virtus1

Enna0

Sancataldese2

1/16-finals

Asti Calcio3

NovaRomentin2

Vado0

Pistoiese3

Piacenza2

Pavia1

Prato1

Correggese4

Sondrio0

Club Milano3

Varesina4

Ciserano-Bergamo1

Rovato Vertovese1

Este3

Brian Lignano0

Mestre1

Ancona1

Atletico Ascoli0

Orvietana0

Valmontone1

Notaresco Calcio2

Albalonga1

Unipomezia3

Trastevere Calcio1

Martina Calcio1

Francavilla2

A.C. Savoia3

Citta di Fasano4

Nocerina3

Reggina2

Castrumfavara3

Sancataldese2

1/8-finals

Asti Calcio1

Pistoiese3

Piacenza0

Correggese1

Club Milano1

Varesina0

Este1

Mestre2

Ancona2

Valmontone1

Notaresco Calcio0

Unipomezia1

Francavilla3

Citta di Fasano2

Nocerina2

Castrumfavara0

Quarter-finals

Pistoiese2

Correggese0

Club Milano1

Mestre0

Ancona2

Unipomezia1

Francavilla1

Nocerina0

Semi-finals

Pistoiese3

Club Milano1

Ancona2

Francavilla1

Final

Pistoiese3

Ancona0