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Luparense FC vs Spinea

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC play Spinea in the Serie D - Group C 2021/2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Luparense FC averaged 1.19 goals scored and 1.06 conceded. Spinea averaged 0.83 goals scored and 1.77 conceded. In past meetings, Luparense FC won 2, Spinea won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 27, 2022 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.10 for Luparense FC and 1.00 for Spinea. This points to a Luparense FC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Luparense FC
26%
Draws
21%
Spinea
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Luparense FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Luparense FC picked up more points recently compared to Spinea.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 42%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 23%
Spinea Clean Sheet 14%
First Half Goal 66%
Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Spinea
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 10 19
Goals Scored 1.19 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.77

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Spinea
2:0
Oct 17, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Spinea vs Luparense FC
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Vassallo M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Spinea Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 52 / 100
Spinea 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Spinea

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luparense FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Luparense FC & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +16.8%
2.78
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Luparense FC attacking → ← attacking Spinea

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Spinea let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Luparense FC went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Spinea lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

44 Points in last 5 23
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Arzignano342110374:3273
2Clodiense342012253:2272
3Adriese34199661:3666
4Luparense FC341610860:3558
5Campodarsego341511848:3756
6Caldiero Terme341561358:5051
7Dolomiti Bellunesi341481251:5050
8Montebelluna341471357:5249
9Mestre341371436:4546
10Cjarlins Muzane3411121151:4345
11Cartigliano3411121144:4045
12Este3410131131:4243
13Levico Terme341191431:4042
14Ambrosiana341171645:5240
15Delta Porto Tolle341061843:5136
16Spinea34672127:5825
17Cattolica Calcio34652320:6123
18San Martino Speme34552429:7320