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Luparense FC vs Vigasio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C
Our Tip

Match Events

87' Event
Visinoni N.

AI Match Summary

Luparense FC in this Serie D - Group C matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luparense FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Luparense FC
39%
Draws
31%
Vigasio
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luparense FC lately — more wins on the board than Vigasio.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Luparense FC Clean Sheet 68%
Vigasio Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luparense FC Vigasio
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 11
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Vigasio
1:0
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Luparense FC
5:0
Feb 9, 2020 Serie D - Group C
Vigasio vs Luparense FC
1:0
Oct 6, 2019 Serie D - Group C
Luparense FC vs Vigasio
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luparense FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Visinoni N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Vigasio Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luparense FC 41 / 100
Vigasio 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luparense FC Vigasio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luparense FC scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Vigasio has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Luparense FC remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luparense FC VS Vigasio
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luparense FC

(Home)
03 May
Este
2 : 0
Luparense FC
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Conegliano
1 : 1
Luparense FC
12 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 2
Mestre
02 Apr
FC Obermais
1 : 1
Luparense FC
Page 1 of 6

Vigasio

(Away)
17 May
Vigasio
2 : 3
FC Obermais
03 May
Vigasio
1 : 4
Legnago Salus
26 Apr
Luparense FC
1 : 0
Vigasio
19 Apr
Vigasio
1 : 3
Brian Lignano
12 Apr
Clodiense
0 : 1
Vigasio
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Treviso34216750:2569
2Legnago Salus34187963:4161
3Clodiense34179847:2960
4Este341413740:2955
5Mestre341413737:2955
6Cjarlins Muzane341312941:3951
7Brian Lignano341681058:3450
8Conegliano3413111036:2850
9Bassano Virtus341214837:2750
10Campodarsego341391237:3448
11Altavilla341016828:2446
12Calvi Noale341351638:4044
13Luparense FC3410131136:3943
14Vigasio348141244:4638
15San Luigi348101633:5434
16FC Obermais348101633:4634
17Adriese34562324:6218
18Portogruaro34182525:8111
Promotion - Serie D - Group C (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Play Out)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C (Additional match)