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Lurgan Town Boys vs Newcastle - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Newcastle advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lurgan Town Boys
15%
Draws
42%
Newcastle
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lurgan Town Boys

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Newcastle carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Newcastle arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Newcastle, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Lurgan Town Boys Clean Sheet 12%
Newcastle Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lurgan Town Boys Newcastle
Matches Played 14 17
Wins 5 8
Draws 0 0
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.79 2.29
Goals Conceded 2.86 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 24, 2009 Irish Cup
Lurgan Town Boys vs Newcastle
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lurgan Town Boys 35 / 100
Newcastle 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lurgan Town Boys Newcastle

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newcastle Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Newcastle has conceded goals in 88% of their last 17 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Lurgan Town Boys scored in 71% of their last 14 games.

Difficult form: Newcastle registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lurgan Town Boys VS Newcastle
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lurgan Town Boys

(Home)
23 Nov
Lurgan Town Boys
0 : 1
Dollingstown
28 Sept
Lurgan Town Boys
0 : 4
St. James' Swifts
17 Aug
Iveagh Utd
1 : 3
Lurgan Town Boys
03 Nov
Lurgan Town Boys
1 : 2
Dunloy
29 Sept
Lurgan Town Boys
4 : 1
Desertmartin
Page 1 of 3

Newcastle

(Away)
28 Sept
Newcastle
0 : 5
Banbridge
17 Aug
Grove
2 : 4
Newcastle
18 Aug
Bangor Amateurs FC
3 : 2
Newcastle
02 Dec
Dundela
5 : 0
Newcastle
04 Nov
Newcastle
3 : 0
Rathfriland Rangers
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Queens University -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Bangor Old Boys -
Lurgan Town Boys 6
Strabane FC 5
Ardstraw 0
Newcastle 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
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Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
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TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Oxford Sunnyside 2
Barn 4
Crewe 2
Mountjoy 1
Abbey Villa 0
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United -
TBD -
Ballynahinch United 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mosside -
TBD -
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Sport & Leisure -
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Glentoran -
Newry City -
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TBD -
Moyola -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Crumlin United -
Raceview -
TBD -
TBD -
Draperstown -
Warrenpoint -
TBD -
Desertmartin 0
Hanover 1
Dromara -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
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Loughgall -
Nortel 6
Bloomfield 1
TBD -
Newbuildings -
Seagoe -
TBD -
East Belfast 2
Lisburn Rangers 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 3
Lower Maze 2
TBD -
Grove -
Banbridge Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Dungiven -
TBD -
TBD -
Rathfriland Rangers -
Rosario Youth 5
Roe Valley 0
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
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Dergview -
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Coleraine -
Ballymena -
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Knockbreda -
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Ards -
Glebe -
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Wakehurst -
Chimney -
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Ballinamallard -
Institute -
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Brantwood -
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Tandragee -
Saintfield -
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Killyleagh Youth -
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TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
TBD -
U. U. Jordanstown -
Sirocco -
TBD -
Downshire Y.M. 0
Wellington Rec 8
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Glenavon -
Crusaders -
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Banbridge -
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Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
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TBD -
Ballymacash -
TBD -
Kilbride 1
Downpatrick 3
Broomhedge -
TBD -
Drumaness 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood -
TBD -
TBD -
Shorts -
Newington FC 2
Laurelvale 0
TBD -
Magherafelt -
TBD -
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TBD -
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TBD -
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Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
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Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
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Annagh -
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Portadown -
1/128-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 3
Bangor Old Boys 2
Lurgan Town Boys 1
Newcastle 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Limavady -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 4
Barn 2
Crewe 4
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 3
Kilmore Rec 2
Richhill 1
Mosside 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 5
Crumlin United 1
Raceview 1
Draperstown 2
Warrenpoint 4
Hanover 1
Dromara 1
Dollingstown 2
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 4
Newbuildings 0
Seagoe 1
Lisburn Rangers 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 2
Grove 0
Banbridge Rangers 0
Foundry 4
Dungiven 3
Rathfriland Rangers 2
Rosario Youth 3
Bryansburn 4
Dundela -
TBD -
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Dergview -
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Coleraine -
Ballymena -
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Knockbreda -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 4
Tandragee 1
Saintfield 0
Killyleagh Youth 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 3
U. U. Jordanstown 2
Sirocco 0
Wellington Rec 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Downpatrick 0
Broomhedge 1
Comber Rec 7
Holywood 4
Shorts 1
Newington FC 2
Magherafelt 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/64-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Malachians 4
Newcastle 1
TBD -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare -
TBD -
TBD -
PSNI -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
Dunmurry Rec 2
Islandmagee 6
Omagh United 1
Mosside 0
TBD -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne -
Ards Rangers 4
Draperstown 1
Warrenpoint 0
Dollingstown 1
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Nortel 2
Lisburn Rangers 1
TBD -
Killymoon -
Oxford Stars 7
Foundry 5
Dungiven 1
Bryansburn 3
Dundela -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Brantwood 3
Killyleagh Youth 2
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
Fivemiletown 2
Wellington Rec 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Tobermore -
TBD -
Ballymacash 1
Comber Rec 2
Holywood 2
Magherafelt 1
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
1/32-finals
Linfield -
TBD -
Queens University 0
Donegal 1
Malachians 3
Limavady 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Ballyclare 2
PSNI 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
Islandmagee 2
Omagh United 2
Sport & Leisure 0
TBD -
Glentoran -
Newry City -
TBD -
Moyola 0
Larne 2
Ards Rangers 3
Dollingstown 2
Armagh 1
Loughgall 2
Nortel 1
Killymoon 0
Oxford Stars 2
Bryansburn 3
Dundela 3
Dergview 2
TBD -
Coleraine -
Ballymena -
TBD -
Knockbreda 1
Ards 2
Glebe 1
Wakehurst 0
Chimney 0
Ballinamallard 9
Institute -
TBD -
Brantwood 0
Ballymoney 4
Harland & Wolff 2
Wellington Rec 1
TBD -
Glenavon -
Crusaders -
TBD -
Banbridge 2
Bangor FC 3
Tobermore 2
Comber Rec 1
Holywood 0
Coagh Utd 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
Lisburn Distillery -
Carrick Rangers 3
Annagh 1
TBD -
Portadown -
1/16-finals
Linfield 4
Donegal 0
Malachians 0
Dungannon 6
Ballyclare 5
Islandmagee 1
Omagh United 0
Glentoran 5
Newry City 2
Larne 1
Ards Rangers 1
Loughgall 3
Nortel 5
Bryansburn 4
Dundela 0
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Ards 0
Glebe 0
Ballinamallard 3
Institute 2
Ballymoney 1
Harland & Wolff 1
Glenavon 5
Crusaders 5
Bangor FC 1
Tobermore 0
Coagh Utd 1
Cliftonville 2
Lisburn Distillery 0
Carrick Rangers 1
Portadown 2
1/8-finals
Linfield 4
Dungannon 0
Ballyclare 1
Glentoran 2
Newry City 2
Loughgall 1
Nortel 0
Coleraine 6
Ballymena 5
Ballinamallard 2
Institute 1
Glenavon 2
Crusaders 4
Coagh Utd 0
Cliftonville 1
Portadown 2
Quarter-finals
Linfield 3
Glentoran 1
Newry City 2
Coleraine 3
Ballymena 5
Glenavon 3
Crusaders 1
Portadown 2
Semi-finals
Linfield 4
Coleraine 2
Ballymena 1
Portadown 2
Final
Linfield 2
Portadown 1