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Lusaca W vs Camacariense W

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Baiano Women 2025
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women 2025 game between Lusaca W and Camacariense W finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusaca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Lusaca W
15%
Draws
42%
Camacariense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusaca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Lusaca W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Camacariense W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Baiano Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 15%
Camacariense W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusaca W Camacariense W
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 11 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.63 1.56
Goals Conceded 3.37 2.78
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2025 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Camacariense W
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusaca W 19 / 100
Camacariense W 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusaca W Camacariense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Camacariense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Camacariense W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.

Lusaca W's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Camacariense W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lusaca W VS Camacariense W
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusaca W

(Home)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
Page 1 of 6

Camacariense W

(Away)
19 Sept
Vitoria W
13 : 0
Camacariense W
12 Sept
CFFB W
1 : 4
Camacariense W
05 Sept
Camacariense W
1 : 2
Jequie W
04 Oct
Alagoinhas W
1 : 0
Camacariense W
27 Sept
Camacariense W
5 : 1
Barcelona FC W
Page 1 of 2

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria W 6 6 0 0 45:1 18
2 Alagoinhas W 6 4 1 1 33:8 13
3 Lusaca W 6 3 1 2 12:8 10
4 Juazeirense W 6 2 2 2 15:5 8
5 Camacariense W 6 2 1 3 9:9 7
6 Barcelona FC W 6 1 1 4 4:31 4
7 Porto-BA W 6 0 0 6 1:57 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 6 6 0 0 59:0 18
2 Sao Francisco BA W 6 4 0 2 22:17 12
3 Litoral Norte W 6 3 1 2 13:18 10
4 CFFB W 6 3 0 3 16:9 9
5 Jacuipense W 6 2 1 3 13:13 7
6 Jequie W 6 1 2 3 8:17 5
7 Botafogo BA W 6 0 0 6 1:58 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2025 (Play Offs)