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Lusaca W vs Leonico W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Baiano Women 2023
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AI Match Summary

The Baiano Women 2023 game between Lusaca W and Leonico W finished 8-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusaca W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Lusaca W
15%
Draws
0%
Leonico W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusaca W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lusaca W come out ahead of Leonico W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Lusaca W a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Lusaca W Clean Sheet 10%
Leonico W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusaca W Leonico W
Matches Played 33 14
Wins 14 1
Draws 3 0
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 1.67 0.36
Goals Conceded 3.09 6.07
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 2, 2023 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Leonico W
8:0
Oct 9, 2022 Baiano Women
Lusaca W vs Leonico W
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusaca W 65 / 100
Leonico W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusaca W Leonico W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusaca W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Leonico W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 14 outings.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Leonico W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Lusaca W scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusaca W VS Leonico W
1.63 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 8
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusaca W

(Home)
25 Oct
Bahia W
14 : 2
Lusaca W
18 Oct
Lusaca W
0 : 8
Bahia W
11 Oct
Sao Francisco BA W
0 : 2
Lusaca W
04 Oct
Lusaca W
1 : 0
Juazeirense W
27 Sept
Vitoria W
4 : 0
Lusaca W
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Leonico W

(Away)
02 Sept
Lusaca W
8 : 0
Leonico W
26 Aug
Leonico W
0 : 8
Bahia W
23 Aug
Vitoria W
5 : 0
Leonico W
19 Aug
Leonico W
0 : 1
AD Astro W
13 Aug
Jacuipense W
2 : 1
Leonico W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bahia W 7 7 0 0 50:3 21
2 Vitoria W 7 5 1 1 16:5 16
3 AD Astro W 7 5 0 2 15:7 15
4 Lusaca W 7 4 1 2 22:11 13
5 Jacuipense W 7 3 0 4 14:17 9
6 Alagoinhas W 7 2 0 5 8:16 6
7 Leonico W 7 1 0 6 3:26 3
8 Redencao W 7 0 0 7 1:44 0
Promotion - Baiano Women 2023 (Play Offs)