Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusail vs Al Wakra

Qatar Qatar

QSL
Fri, Sep 4, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusail host Al Wakra in the QSL. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Lusail have averaged 1.64 scored and 1.89 conceded recently, against Al Wakra's 1.48 scored and 1.55 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.75) point toward Lusail. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Lusail
15%
Draws
28%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusail carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lusail a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Lusail Clean Sheet 12%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Wakra
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.64 1.48
Goals Conceded 1.89 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 65 / 100
Al Wakra 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusail's goal record stands at 89% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Wakra let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Al Wakra lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Lusail has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Wakra
1.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
24 Jul
Den Bosch
2 : 1
Lusail
18 Jul
Dordrecht
5 : 0
Lusail
30 Apr
Lusail
1 : 2
Al Bidda
25 Apr
Al Markhiya
0 : 2
Lusail
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0
Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 6

Al Wakra

(Away)
31 Jul
Nantes
5 : 1
Al Wakra
28 Jul
Rouen
1 : 0
Al Wakra
25 Jul
Caen
4 : 1
Al Wakra
22 Jul
Brest
0 : 2
Al Wakra
05 May
Al Wakra
0 : 1
Al-Gharafa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Sadd 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Al-Gharafa 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Al Arabi (Qatar) 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Al Rayyan 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Qatar SC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Al Wakra 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Al Sailiya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Al Ahli 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Al-Duhail 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Shamal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Al-Shahaniya 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Lusail 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)