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Lusail vs Al Wakra - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Lusail Iconic Stadium, Lusail
Lusail Logo

Lusail

4 - 0
FT
Al Wakra Logo

Al Wakra

Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Simo
12' Event
Firouzi H.
Assist: Pilali A.
16'
Ali A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Lusail and Al Wakra finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusail.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lusail
35%
Draws
31%
Al Wakra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wakra carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Lusail a 34% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Lusail Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wakra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusail Al Wakra
Matches Played 27 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.48 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 QSL
Lusail vs Al Wakra
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusail Compare

Top Goalscorer Zavoshi F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Firouzi H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Al Wakra Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusail 85 / 100
Al Wakra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusail Al Wakra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusail Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusail's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lusail went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Wakra has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusail VS Al Wakra
1.25 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusail

(Home)
29 Sept
Al Waab
1 : 1
Lusail
21 Sept
Lusail
1 : 0
Al Markhiya
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Lusail
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
28 Aug
Al Ahli
3 : 3
Lusail
Page 1 of 6

Al Wakra

(Away)
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
28 Sept
Al Kharitiyath
1 : 1
Al Wakra
20 Sept
Al Wakra
1 : 0
Al Sailiya
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
04 Sept
Lusail
4 : 0
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)