Sport Picks
Match Events
68'
68'
Ribaudo S.
80'
80'
Canka M.
88'
88'
Ndiaye Diop M.
AI Match Summary
Lushnja in this Albanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lushnja
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Butrinti Sarande have won more games recently than Lushnja.
- Model gives Lushnja a 85% chance of winning this.
- Butrinti Sarande arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lushnja, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 20%
Butrinti Sarande Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lushnja | Butrinti Sarande |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 19 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.87 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 15, 2025 Albanian Cup
Lushnja vs Butrinti Sarande
2:1
Feb 12, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Lushnja
2:1
Oct 2, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs Butrinti Sarande
1:0
May 14, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Lushnja
3:0
Mar 12, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Butrinti Sarande vs Lushnja
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lushnja Compare
Top Goalscorer Ribaudo S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Canka M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Butrinti Sarande Compare
Top Goalscorer Ndiaye Diop M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lushnja 58 / 100
Butrinti Sarande 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lushnja Butrinti Sarande
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lushnja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Difficult form: Butrinti Sarande registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.
Butrinti Sarande's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Lushnja scored in 55% of their last 31 outings.
Scoring Trends
Lushnja VS Butrinti Sarande
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 2
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lushnja
(Home) 03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0 Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0 Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1 Korabi Peshkopi
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03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1 Korabi Peshkopi
14 Mar
Lushnja
0 : 0 AF Luftetari
28 Feb
Lushnja
1 : 5 Laci
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Butrinti Sarande
(Away) 28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo City
3 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
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28 May
Kukesi
2 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
15 Oct
Lushnja
2 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
16 Oct
Kastrioti
3 : 1 Butrinti Sarande
18 Oct
Luzi
3 : 2 Butrinti Sarande
11 Oct
Dinamo City
3 : 0 Butrinti Sarande
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Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 5
Basania FC 2
Iliria Kruja 5
Luzi 1
Dinamo City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 5
Shkumbini Peqin 0
Kukesi 3
Terbuni Puka 1
Bylis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Laci 3
Kelcyra 0
AF Luftetari 2
KF Oriku 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Delvina 0
Korabi Peshkopi 4
Koplik 1
Teuta -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vora 6
Maliqi 2
Erzeni Shijak 0
Sopoti Librazhd 2
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Beselidhja Lezha 0
Lushnja 2
Butrinti Sarande 1
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Flamurtari 5
Kucove 0
KF Valbona -
Tomori Berat -
Partizani -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Burreli 3
Albanet 1
Kastrioti 3
KS Devolli 2
1/16-finals
KF Tirana -
TBD -
Skenderbeu Korca 4
Iliria Kruja 2
Dinamo City -
TBD -
Besa Kavaje 3
Kukesi 1
Bylis -
TBD -
Laci 2
AF Luftetari 0
Vllaznia -
TBD -
Pogradeci 4
Korabi Peshkopi 3
Teuta -
TBD -
Vora 2
Sopoti Librazhd 1
KF Egnatia -
TBD -
Apolonia Fier 3
Lushnja 2
AF Elbasani -
TBD -
Flamurtari 9
Tomori Berat 0
Partizani -
TBD -
Burreli 5
Kastrioti 2
1/8-finals
KF Tirana 2
Skenderbeu Korca 1
Dinamo City 3
Besa Kavaje 0
Bylis 3
Laci 2
Vllaznia 1
Pogradeci 0
Teuta 2
Vora 0
KF Egnatia 1
Apolonia Fier 0
AF Elbasani 2
Flamurtari 1
Partizani 3
Burreli 0
Quarter-finals
KF Tirana 0
Dinamo City 4
Bylis 1
Vllaznia 3
Teuta 1
KF Egnatia 2
AF Elbasani 3
Partizani 2
Semi-finals
Dinamo City 2
Vllaznia 1
KF Egnatia 3
AF Elbasani 2
Final
Dinamo City 3
KF Egnatia 2
