Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Lushnja in this First Division 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lushnja.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: KF Elbasani
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- KF Elbasani haven't matched Lushnja's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Lushnja here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Lushnja Clean Sheet 20%
KF Elbasani Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lushnja | KF Elbasani |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 41 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 5 |
| Draws | 9 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.39 | 2.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 15, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Elbasani
1:1
Apr 10, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Lushnja
0:1
Mar 3, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Elbasani
3:1
Nov 28, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
KF Elbasani vs Lushnja
0:1
Feb 8, 2020 Kategoria e Parë
Lushnja vs KF Elbasani
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lushnja 36 / 100
KF Elbasani 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lushnja KF Elbasani
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick KF Elbasani Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
KF Elbasani's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.
Lushnja found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (41 games).
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Lushnja went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lushnja VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Lushnja
(Home) 03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0 Lushnja
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
11 Apr
Besa Kavaje
0 : 0 Lushnja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1 Korabi Peshkopi
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03 May
Lushnja
1 : 4 Kastrioti
19 Apr
Lushnja
0 : 3 Iliria Kruja
04 Apr
Lushnja
2 : 1 Korabi Peshkopi
14 Mar
Lushnja
0 : 0 AF Luftetari
28 Feb
Lushnja
1 : 5 Laci
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KF Elbasani
(Away) 12 Aug
KF Elbasani
4 : 1 Luzi
02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1 KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
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02 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
28 Jul
Dinamo City
2 : 2 KF Elbasani
25 Jul
Voska Sport
3 : 1 KF Elbasani
13 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0 KF Elbasani
15 May
Lushnja
1 : 1 KF Elbasani
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burreli | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 2 | Korabi Peshkopi | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 17:8 | 33 |
| 3 | Dinamo City | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 23:9 | 32 |
| 4 | Vora | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 10:18 | 21 |
| 5 | Beselidhja Lezha | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 6 | Erzeni Shijak | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 7 | KF Oriku | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 7:15 | 15 |
| 8 | Partizani II | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:25 | 15 |
| 9 | Koplik | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:26 | 10 |
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KF Egnatia | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 25:5 | 31 |
| 2 | Tomori Berat | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:11 | 29 |
| 3 | Pogradeci | 14 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 24:14 | 28 |
| 4 | Besa Kavaje | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 5 | Lushnja | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 16:20 | 19 |
| 6 | Turbina Cerrik | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 14:16 | 18 |
| 7 | Flamurtari | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7:20 | 10 |
| 8 | KF Elbasani | 14 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 5:34 | 1 |
| 9 | AF Luftetari | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - First Division 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - First Division 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)
