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Lusitania FC vs Bustelo

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016
Lusitania FC Logo

Lusitania FC

2 - 0
FT
Bustelo Logo

Bustelo

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 game between Lusitania FC and Bustelo finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Lusitania FC
15%
Draws
32%
Bustelo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Lusitania FC come out ahead of Bustelo on wins alone.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Lusitania FC taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Lusitania FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%
Bustelo Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC Bustelo
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.44 1
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Lusitania FC
2:3
Mar 13, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Bustelo
2:0
Dec 20, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Bustelo vs Lusitania FC
3:2
Oct 3, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Bustelo
4:2
Sep 6, 2015 Taça de Portugal
Bustelo vs Lusitania FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 68 / 100
Bustelo 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC Bustelo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitania FC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bustelo has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Lusitania FC's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 36 recent games.

Lusitania FC has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
29 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Lusitania FC
22 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 2
Torreense
16 Aug
Amarante FC
0 : 1
Lusitania FC
10 Aug
Lusitania FC
2 : 0
FC Porto B
01 Aug
Paredes
4 : 2
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 8

Bustelo

(Away)
29 Sept
Beira Mar
2 : 0
Bustelo
07 Sept
Manteigas
1 : 3
Bustelo
15 May
Bustelo
1 : 0
Gafanha
08 May
Sanjoanense
2 : 0
Bustelo
30 Apr
Bustelo
2 : 3
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 14 9 4 1 27:11 46
2 FC Cesarense 14 8 3 3 20:14 38
3 Lusitano FCV 14 5 4 5 16:10 34
4 Mortagua FC 14 6 1 7 13:16 29
5 Gafanha 14 5 4 5 14:17 27
6 Lusitania FC 14 4 5 5 13:16 27
7 Oliveira de Frades 14 3 3 8 15:22 22
8 Bustelo 14 3 2 9 10:22 18
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A 2015/2016 (Play Out)