Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019

Lusitania FC

1 - 0

FC Cesarense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between Lusitania FC and FC Cesarense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitania FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Lusitania FC

28%

Draws

22%

FC Cesarense

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Lusitania FC come out ahead of FC Cesarense on wins alone.
Model gives Lusitania FC a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%

Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 19%

FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitania FC	FC Cesarense
Matches Played	37	30
Wins	15	2
Draws	10	12
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1.5	0
Goals Conceded	1.5	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitania FC vs FC Cesarense

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Sep 2, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

FC Cesarense vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 1 - 2

0:0

Apr 24, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitania FC vs FC Cesarense

Possession: 57% - 42% Cards: 3 - 0

1:0

Mar 6, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

FC Cesarense vs Lusitania FC

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 3 - 1

1:1

Jan 3, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitania FC vs FC Cesarense

Possession: 47% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 49 / 100

FC Cesarense 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitania FC FC Cesarense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FC Cesarense let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Lusitania FC's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 37 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Lusitania FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS -

1.5 Goals Scored 0

1.5 Goals Conceded 0

75% Over 1.5 0%

63% Over 2.5 0%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2