Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lusitania FC vs FC Porto B

Portugal Portugal

Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 Estádio do Lusitânia de Lourosa, Lourosa
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Teixeira M.
46'
Sub
Teixeira M. In: Rocha Biai A. M.
Out: Teixeira M.
62' Event
Fabinho
Assist: Faria B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 game between Lusitania FC and FC Porto B finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lusitania FC
30%
Draws
34%
FC Porto B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusitania FC haven't matched FC Porto B's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lusitania FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 20%
FC Porto B Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitania FC FC Porto B
Matches Played 24 28
Wins 8 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0.57
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.86

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Liga Portugal 2
Lusitania FC vs FC Porto B
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Liga Portugal 2
FC Porto B vs Lusitania FC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitania FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Fabinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

FC Porto B Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitania FC 36 / 100
FC Porto B 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitania FC FC Porto B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lusitania FC scored in 67% of their last 24 outings.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

FC Porto B's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Lusitania FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitania FC VS FC Porto B
0.75 Goals Scored 0.57
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 43%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitania FC

(Home)
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 5

FC Porto B

(Away)
15 May
FC Porto B
2 : 0
Benfica B
09 May
Sporting CP B
0 : 1
FC Porto B
04 May
FC Porto B
1 : 0
FC Felgueiras
26 Apr
Penafiel
3 : 0
FC Porto B
20 Apr
FC Porto B
0 : 3
Leixoes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maritimo34206850:2966
2Academico Viseu34178958:3359
3Torreense341851146:3359
4Vizela341491139:4051
5FC Porto B341561341:4251
6Leiria3413111052:4650
7Leixoes341551446:5550
8Feirense3412101237:4046
9Chaves341361542:4045
10Benfica B3411111243:4444
11FC Felgueiras3411111234:3844
12Lusitania FC3411101344:5243
13Sporting CP B341331841:3442
14Penafiel341181537:3941
15Portimonense341171639:4940
16SC Farense3410101431:3740
17Pacos Ferreira349121334:4839
18Oliveirense348101634:4934
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Liga Portugal (Main)
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga 3 (Main)