Sport Picks
Lusitano FCV vs Castro Daire
Portugal
Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 
AI Match Summary
Lusitano FCV play Castro Daire in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lusitano FCV averaged 0.69 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Castro Daire averaged 0.91 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, Lusitano FCV won 1, Castro Daire won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 3, 2021 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.04 for Lusitano FCV and 1.31 for Castro Daire. This points to a Castro Daire double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lusitano FCV picked up more points recently compared to Castro Daire.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.04 vs 1.31 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lusitano FCV | Castro Daire |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 6 |
| Draws | 4 | 9 |
| Losses | 17 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 0.69 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.58 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lusitano FCV scored in 42% of their last 26 games.
Castro Daire let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
Lusitano FCV went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.
Castro Daire lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Anadia | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 39:15 | 44 |
| 2 | Canelas 2010 | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 28:13 | 41 |
| 3 | Lusitania FC | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 38:26 | 39 |
| 4 | Sao Joao de Ver | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 30:14 | 38 |
| 5 | Sanjoanense | 22 | 8 | 12 | 2 | 26:13 | 36 |
| 6 | Castro Daire | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 23:24 | 35 |
| 7 | Valadares Gaia FC | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 36:27 | 33 |
| 8 | SC Espinho | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:22 | 31 |
| 9 | Beira Mar | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30:23 | 31 |
| 10 | Agueda | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17:28 | 17 |
| 11 | Lusitano FCV | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 17:34 | 16 |
| 12 | Vila Cortez | 22 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 8:86 | 4 |