Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2017/2018

Lusitano FCV

4 - 1

Fornos de Algodres

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Lusitano FCV advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Lusitano FCV

Draws

Fornos de Algodres

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Lusitano FCV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Fornos de Algodres haven't matched Lusitano FCV's recent run of results.
90% — that's where the model lands on Lusitano FCV taking it.
Lusitano FCV have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Lusitano FCV, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Lusitano FCV here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 28%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 20%

Fornos de Algodres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitano FCV	Fornos de Algodres
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	11	1
Draws	4	4
Losses	18	25
Goals Scored	0.63	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	4.33
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	4.33

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Fornos de Algodres vs Lusitano FCV

0:2

Sep 10, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Lusitano FCV vs Fornos de Algodres

3:0

Sep 3, 2017 Taça de Portugal

Lusitano FCV vs Fornos de Algodres

4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano FCV 85 / 100

Fornos de Algodres 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitano FCV Fornos de Algodres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fornos de Algodres has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.33 goals as a typical output.

Fornos de Algodres's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Lusitano FCV's goal record stands at 55% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano FCV VS Fornos de Algodres

0.63 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 4.33

63% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano FCV

(Home)

10 Sept

Lusitano FCV

0 : 2

Tocha

11 Sept

Lusitano FCV

0 : 3

Sanjoanense

10 Apr

SC Espinho

2 : 1

Lusitano FCV

03 Apr

Lusitano FCV

0 : 3

Castro Daire

14 Mar

Beira Mar

2 : 1

Lusitano FCV

Page 1 of 7

Fornos de Algodres

(Away)

18 Oct

Fornos de Algodres

0 : 7

AFS

21 Sept

Fornos de Algodres

3 : 1

Charneca Caparica

10 Sept

Fornos de Algodres

0 : 5

Oliveira Hospital

22 Apr

Sertanense

6 : 1

Fornos de Algodres

14 Apr

Fornos de Algodres

1 : 3

Agueda

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Moreirense-

TBD-

GD Resende1

Lamego0

Uniao Lamas2

Canelas 20103

Operario2

Charneca Caparica0

Recreativo Canaviais1

Guadalupe4

Pedras Salgadas2

CDC Montalegre0

Machico0

FC Felgueiras4

Chaves-

TBD-

Electrico FC3

Mosteirense0

Macao0

Fatima4

BSAD-

TBD-

Gondomar3

Regua1

TBD-

Santa Clara-

Vitoria Guimaraes-

TBD-

Aguia Vimioso1

Desportivo Moncao0

TBD-

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira-

Academico Viseu-

TBD-

Fornos de Algodres1

Lusitano FCV4

TBD-

Feirense-

Portimonense-

TBD-

Gil Vicente-

TBD-

Ferreiras2

Moura AC5

Lusitano GC3

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1

GD Coruchense2

Pero Pinheiro5

TBD-

FC Porto-

Cova De Piedade-

TBD-

Atletico Arcos3

Minas de Argozelo5

Pedras Rubras3

Camacha1

Agueda0

Anadia1

Amarante FC1

AD Fafe0

TBD-

Varzim-

Almodovar5

CDR Quarteirense2

CD Rabo Peixe0

Sporting Ideal3

AD Oliveirense5

Sendim0

Vilafranquense1

Mafra2

Mortagua FC5

Figueirense1

GS Loures1

Torreense2

GD Uniao Torcatense2

Esposende1

Oriental1

Lusitano VRSA2

TBD-

Maritimo-

Vilaverdense FC2

GD Braganca0

Tocha1

Esmoriz2

TBD-

Boavista-

Sintrense2

FC Crato1

Aroes0

Trofense1

Covilha-

TBD-

Mondinense0

Vizela3

Famalicao-

TBD-

Rio Tinto0

Coimbroes1

SC Salgueiros3

Cinfaes2

FC Flamengos0

Alta Lisboa4

Oleiros1

Alcanenense0

Paredes0

Sousense2

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Rio Ave-

TBD-

FC Crato-

TBD-

SC Sabugal2

Sanjoanense3

Sao Martinho2

SC Vila Real1

Riachense0

UC Idanhense2

TBD-

Braga-

Vitoria Setubal-

TBD-

Leiria e Marrazes-

TBD-

Pinhalnovense-

Olhanense3

Almancilense1

TBD-

Lamego-

TBD-

Benfica-

U. Madeira-

TBD-

Sertanense-

Marinhense2

Sertanense0

TBD-

Oriental-

Gafanha1

Nogueirense0

TBD-

SC Lourinhanense-

Maria de Fonte2

SC Mirandela1

Camara de Lobos0

Freamunde2

Leiria3

GD Sourense0

Leiria e Marrazes1

SB Castelo Branco5

Moncarapachense1

Armacenenses0

Alianca de Gandra0

SC Espinho1

SC Vila Real-

TBD-

Oliveirense-

TBD-

Aves-

Caldas SC2

SC Lourinhanense0

SC Lusitania0

Montijo3

Aguias do Moradal2

Alcains1

Ferreira de Aves0

FC Cesarense1

GD Coruchense-

TBD-

Mondinense-

Sacavenense2

1º Dezembro0

TBD-

Arouca-

Nacional-

TBD-

SC Pombal0

Condeixa3

Real SC-

TBD-

Cerveira1

Merelinense3

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

SC Mirandela-

TBD-

Academica-

SC Praiense4

Vale Formoso1

Castrense1

Louletano2

GD Braganca-

TBD-

Alcains-

Casa Pia2

Pinhalnovense0

TBD-

Recreativo Canaviais-

Penafiel-

TBD-

Vilafranquense-

Leixoes-

TBD-

GD Sourense-

TBD-

Tondela-

Estoril-

TBD-

Amora3

Vitoria FC Pico0

Estrela Vendas Novas1

SC Farense7

1/64-finals

Moreirense-

TBD-

GD Resende0

Canelas 20103

Operario3

Guadalupe2

Pedras Salgadas1

FC Felgueiras2

Chaves-

TBD-

Electrico FC2

Fatima4

BSAD-

TBD-

Gondomar0

Santa Clara1

Vitoria Guimaraes-

TBD-

Aguia Vimioso2

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira3

Academico Viseu1

Lusitano FCV0

TBD-

Feirense-

Portimonense-

TBD-

Gil Vicente0

Moura AC1

Lusitano GC4

Pero Pinheiro1

TBD-

FC Porto-

Cova De Piedade4

Minas de Argozelo0

Pedras Rubras0

Anadia4

Amarante FC1

Varzim0

Almodovar0

Sporting Ideal1

AD Oliveirense2

Mafra1

Mortagua FC0

Torreense2

GD Uniao Torcatense2

Lusitano VRSA0

TBD-

Maritimo-

Vilaverdense FC1

Esmoriz0

TBD-

Boavista-

Sintrense1

Trofense0

Covilha1

Vizela2

Famalicao3

Coimbroes1

SC Salgueiros2

Alta Lisboa3

Oleiros3

Sousense0

TBD-

Sporting CP-

Rio Ave-

TBD-

FC Crato0

Sanjoanense3

Sao Martinho4

UC Idanhense0

TBD-

Braga-

Vitoria Setubal-

TBD-

Leiria e Marrazes0

Pinhalnovense4

Olhanense4

Lamego1

TBD-

Benfica-

U. Madeira2

Sertanense0

Marinhense0

Oriental1

Gafanha3

SC Lourinhanense2

Maria de Fonte2

Freamunde4

Leiria2

SB Castelo Branco0

Moncarapachense0

SC Espinho1

SC Vila Real1

Oliveirense0

TBD-

Aves-

Caldas SC1

Montijo0

Aguias do Moradal2

FC Cesarense3

GD Coruchense5

Mondinense2

Sacavenense0

Arouca1

Nacional3

Condeixa1

Real SC1

Merelinense3

Pacos Ferreira-

TBD-

SC Mirandela1

Academica2

SC Praiense2

Louletano0

GD Braganca1

Alcains2

Casa Pia5

Recreativo Canaviais0

Penafiel0

Vilafranquense1

Leixoes2

GD Sourense0

TBD-

Tondela-

Estoril-

TBD-

Amora2

SC Farense3

1/32-finals

Moreirense3

Canelas 20101

Operario2

FC Felgueiras4

Chaves3

Fatima0

BSAD1

Santa Clara2

Vitoria Guimaraes6

Vasco da Gama Vidigueira1

Academico Viseu0

Feirense1

Portimonense1

Moura AC0

Lusitano GC0

FC Porto6

Cova De Piedade2

Anadia1

Amarante FC1

Sporting Ideal2

AD Oliveirense1

Torreense0

GD Uniao Torcatense0

Maritimo1

Vilaverdense FC1

Boavista0

Sintrense1

Vizela3

Famalicao2

Alta Lisboa0

Oleiros2

Sporting CP4

Rio Ave4

Sanjoanense0

Sao Martinho2

Braga3

Vitoria Setubal2

Pinhalnovense1

Olhanense0

Benfica1

U. Madeira3

Oriental2

Gafanha0

Freamunde1

Leiria2

SC Espinho0

SC Vila Real0

Aves1

Caldas SC2

FC Cesarense1

GD Coruchense0

Arouca3

Nacional4

Merelinense2

Pacos Ferreira1

Academica2

SC Praiense4

Alcains1

Casa Pia1

Vilafranquense2

Leixoes3

Tondela2

Estoril0

SC Farense1

1/16-finals

Moreirense5

FC Felgueiras2

Chaves0

Santa Clara2

Vitoria Guimaraes2

Feirense1

Portimonense2

FC Porto3

Cova De Piedade4

Sporting Ideal1

AD Oliveirense2

Maritimo3

Vilaverdense FC3

Vizela2

Famalicao0

Sporting CP2

Rio Ave1

Braga0

Vitoria Setubal0

Benfica2

U. Madeira4

Freamunde2

Leiria0

Aves3

Caldas SC2

Arouca1

Nacional0

Academica1

SC Praiense3

Vilafranquense2

Leixoes1

SC Farense2

1/8-finals

Moreirense3

Santa Clara2

Vitoria Guimaraes0

FC Porto4

Cova De Piedade1

Maritimo0

Vilaverdense FC0

Sporting CP4

Rio Ave3

Benfica2

U. Madeira1

Aves5

Caldas SC2

Academica1

SC Praiense0

SC Farense1

Quarter-finals

Moreirense1

FC Porto2

Cova De Piedade1

Sporting CP2

Rio Ave4

Aves5

Caldas SC3

SC Farense2

Semi-finals

FC Porto1

Sporting CP2

Aves3

Caldas SC1

Final

Sporting CP1

Aves2