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Lusitano FCV vs Lusitania FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Lusitano FCV
11%
Draws
80%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Lusitania FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lusitania FC lately — more wins on the board than Lusitano FCV.
  • Win probability leans Lusitania FC's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitano FCV Lusitania FC
Matches Played 26 26
Wins 5 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitano FCV vs Lusitania FC
0:0
Sep 20, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Lusitania FC vs Lusitano FCV
2:1
Mar 22, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Lusitania FC vs Lusitano FCV
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Lusitano FCV vs Lusitania FC
0:2
Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Lusitania FC vs Lusitano FCV
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano FCV 12 / 100
Lusitania FC 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitano FCV Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 69% of 26 recent games.

Lusitania FC lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Lusitano FCV scored in 42% of their last 26 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitano FCV

(Home)
10 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 2
Tocha
11 Sept
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Sanjoanense
10 Apr
SC Espinho
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
03 Apr
Lusitano FCV
0 : 3
Castro Daire
14 Mar
Beira Mar
2 : 1
Lusitano FCV
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Lusitania FC

(Away)
25 Jul
Lusitania FC
1 : 0
Academico Viseu
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Anadia22135439:1544
2Canelas 201022125528:1341
3Lusitania FC22116538:2639
4Sao Joao de Ver22108430:1438
5Sanjoanense22812226:1336
6Castro Daire22105723:2435
7Valadares Gaia FC22103936:2733
8SC Espinho2294933:2231
9Beira Mar2294930:2331
10Agueda22451317:2817
11Lusitano FCV22441417:3416
12Vila Cortez2211208:864
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)