Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019

Meda

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Lusitano FCV play Meda in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019. Lusitano FCV are favorites here. Recently, Lusitano FCV averaged 0.85 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Meda averaged 0.57 goals scored and 3.1 conceded. In past meetings, Lusitano FCV won 2, Meda won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 10, 2019 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.19 for Lusitano FCV and 1.19 for Meda. This points to a Lusitano FCV double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Lusitano FCV

15%

Draws

20%

Meda

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lusitano FCV

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Lusitano FCV picked up more points recently compared to Meda.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.19 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 59%

Over 3.5 Goals 35%

Over 4.5 Goals 18%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 20%

Meda Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitano FCV	Meda
Matches Played	27	30
Wins	6	0
Draws	4	2
Losses	17	28
Goals Scored	0.85	0.57
Goals Conceded	1.52	3.1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	6.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitano FCV vs Meda

Possession: 56% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

5:0

Sep 2, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Meda vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 52% - 47% Cards: 2 - 1

0:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano FCV 63 / 100

Meda 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitano FCV Meda

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lusitano FCV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Lusitano FCV & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11.5%

1.89

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lusitano FCV attacking → ← attacking Meda

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitano FCV scored in 44% of their last 27 games.

Meda let in goals in 100% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Lusitano FCV went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Meda lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

22 Points in last 5 2

0.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 6.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2