Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016

Lusitano FCV

1 - 0

Oliveira de Frades

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 game between Lusitano FCV and Oliveira de Frades finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano FCV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%

Lusitano FCV

33%

Draws

40%

Oliveira de Frades

Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Oliveira de Frades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Oliveira de Frades haven't matched Lusitano FCV's recent run of results.
40% — that's where the model lands on Oliveira de Frades taking it.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Lusitano FCV here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 20%

Oliveira de Frades Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitano FCV	Oliveira de Frades
Matches Played	34	31
Wins	11	7
Draws	5	7
Losses	18	17
Goals Scored	0.38	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	3
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs Oliveira de Frades

Possession: 41% - 56% Cards: 0 - 3

1:0

Mar 26, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 47% - 50% Cards: 4 - 1

0:3

Jan 17, 2016 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Oliveira de Frades vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

0:1

Nov 1, 2015 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs Oliveira de Frades

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano FCV 28 / 100

Oliveira de Frades 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitano FCV Oliveira de Frades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OLI Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Oliveira de Frades's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Away concern: Oliveira de Frades has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Lusitano FCV scored in 53% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.25 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano FCV VS Oliveira de Frades

0.38 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 3

63% Over 1.5 100%

25% Over 2.5 100%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sanjoanense	14	9	4	1	27:11	46
2	FC Cesarense	14	8	3	3	20:14	38
3	Lusitano FCV	14	5	4	5	16:10	34
4	Mortagua FC	14	6	1	7	13:16	29
5	Gafanha	14	5	4	5	14:17	27
6	Lusitania FC	14	4	5	5	13:16	27
7	Oliveira de Frades	14	3	3	8	15:22	22
8	Bustelo	14	3	2	9	10:22	18