Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021

Lusitano FCV

2 - 0

SC Espinho

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 game between Lusitano FCV and SC Espinho finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lusitano FCV.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

Lusitano FCV

Draws

90%

SC Espinho

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SC Espinho

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

SC Espinho carry the better recent record into this one.
SC Espinho are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%

Lusitano FCV Clean Sheet 10%

SC Espinho Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Lusitano FCV	SC Espinho
Matches Played	26	32
Wins	5	15
Draws	4	7
Losses	17	10
Goals Scored	0	1.88
Goals Conceded	2.5	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

SC Espinho vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 41% - 47% Cards: 2 - 0

2:1

Jan 10, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D

Lusitano FCV vs SC Espinho

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Feb 23, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

SC Espinho vs Lusitano FCV

Possession: 46% - 44% Cards: 3 - 0

4:0

Oct 5, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitano FCV vs SC Espinho

Possession: 49% - 51% Cards: 0 - 1

1:2

Mar 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

Lusitano FCV vs SC Espinho

Possession: 45% - 53% Cards: 3 - 3

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitano FCV 10 / 100

SC Espinho 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Lusitano FCV SC Espinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ESP Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Lusitano FCV scored in 42% of their last 26 games.

SC Espinho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

SC Espinho lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lusitano FCV VS SC Espinho

0 Goals Scored 1.88

2.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Anadia	22	13	5	4	39:15	44
2	Canelas 2010	22	12	5	5	28:13	41
3	Lusitania FC	22	11	6	5	38:26	39
4	Sao Joao de Ver	22	10	8	4	30:14	38
5	Sanjoanense	22	8	12	2	26:13	36
6	Castro Daire	22	10	5	7	23:24	35
7	Valadares Gaia FC	22	10	3	9	36:27	33
8	SC Espinho	22	9	4	9	33:22	31
9	Beira Mar	22	9	4	9	30:23	31
10	Agueda	22	4	5	13	17:28	17
11	Lusitano FCV	22	4	4	14	17:34	16
12	Vila Cortez	22	1	1	20	8:86	4