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Lusitanos vs Ordino

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019 Estadi Comunal, Andorra la Vella
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Bertran S.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Divisió 2018/2019 game between Lusitanos and Ordino finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ordino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lusitanos
30%
Draws
58%
Ordino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ordino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Ordino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Ordino's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera Divisió 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 20%
Ordino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitanos Ordino
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 12
Draws 5 3
Losses 19 17
Goals Scored 0.87 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2019 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Lusitanos
3:0
Apr 14, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Ordino
0:1
Mar 10, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Ordino
1:5
Dec 9, 2018 Primera Divisió
Ordino vs Lusitanos
1:3
Oct 7, 2018 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs Ordino
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lusitanos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Ordino Compare

Top Goalscorer Bertran S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitanos 28 / 100
Ordino 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitanos Ordino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ordino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ordino let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lusitanos scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Lusitanos remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ordino
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lusitanos

(Home)
19 Jan
Carroi
3 : 1
Lusitanos
29 May
Lusitanos
1 : 1
Carroi
22 May
Carroi
1 : 0
Lusitanos
19 May
Encamp
1 : 0
Lusitanos
11 May
Lusitanos
0 : 0
UE Santa Coloma
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Ordino

(Away)
20 Sept
Esperanca
4 : 0
Ordino
13 Sept
Ordino
3 : 2
Casa de Portugal
06 Sept
Sporting Escaldes
1 : 2
Ordino
16 May
Ordino
2 : 2
Esperanca
10 May
FC Santa Coloma
0 : 1
Ordino
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
5 Ordino 27 10 3 14 34:39 33
6 UE Santa Coloma 27 8 8 11 33:32 32
7 Lusitanos 27 5 6 16 22:46 21
8 Encamp 27 5 5 17 24:53 20
Relegation - Primera Divisió 2018/2019 (Relegation)