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Lusitanos vs UE Santa Coloma

Andorra Andorra

Primera Divisió 2018/2019 Estadi Comunal
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lusitanos play UE Santa Coloma in the Primera Divisió 2018/2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lusitanos averaged 0.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. UE Santa Coloma averaged 1.64 goals scored and 0.67 conceded. In past meetings, Lusitanos won 1, UE Santa Coloma won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 11, 2019 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.97 for Lusitanos and 1.61 for UE Santa Coloma. This points to a UE Santa Coloma double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Lusitanos
26%
Draws
53%
UE Santa Coloma
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: UE Santa Coloma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • Lusitanos picked up more points recently compared to UE Santa Coloma.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.97 vs 1.61 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 74%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Lusitanos Clean Sheet 14%
UE Santa Coloma Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 67%
Second Half Goal 70%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lusitanos UE Santa Coloma
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.87 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.87 0.67

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs UE Santa Coloma
0:0
Apr 28, 2019 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos
2:0
Apr 7, 2019 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos
0:0
Feb 10, 2019 Primera Divisió
Lusitanos vs UE Santa Coloma
1:2
Nov 4, 2018 Primera Divisió
UE Santa Coloma vs Lusitanos
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lusitanos 22 / 100
UE Santa Coloma 51 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lusitanos UE Santa Coloma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UE Santa Coloma Win (2)
Secondary Pick UE Santa Coloma & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +61.5%
7.69
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lusitanos attacking → ← attacking UE Santa Coloma

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lusitanos scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

UE Santa Coloma let in goals in 45% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Lusitanos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

UE Santa Coloma lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 65
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Sant Julia21136242:1645
2FC Santa Coloma21127232:1243
3Inter Escaldes21124530:2140
4UE Engordany2187626:2431
5Ordino21721227:3223
6UE Santa Coloma21561025:2921
7Lusitanos21541221:3819
8Encamp21241516:4710