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Luton U18 vs QPR U18 Prediction & H2H Stats

England England

FA Youth Cup 2022/2023
Luton U18 Logo

Luton U18

3 - 1
FT
QPR U18 Logo

QPR U18

Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Lawrence T.
7' Event
Burger J.
12' Event
Lynch O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Luton U18 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luton U18
15%
Draws
0%
QPR U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luton U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Luton U18 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Luton U18 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Luton U18 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Luton U18, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Luton U18 Clean Sheet 19%
QPR U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luton U18 QPR U18
Matches Played 6 7
Wins 3 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 3 7
Goals Scored 1.33 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.67 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.24 1.26
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2023 FA Youth Cup
Luton U18 vs QPR U18
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luton U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Burger J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lynch O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.72
Avg xA / game 1.12

QPR U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lawrence T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luton U18 85 / 100
QPR U18 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luton U18 QPR U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luton U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

QPR U18 let in goals in 100% of their last 7 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

QPR U18's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Luton U18 scored in 67% of their last 6 games.

Scoring Trends

Luton U18 VS QPR U18
1.33 Goals Scored 0.86
1.67 Goals Conceded 3.14
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Luton U18

(Home)
25 Jul
Brentwood
4 : 0
Luton U18
06 Feb
Luton U18
2 : 3
Preston U18
18 Jan
Luton U18
3 : 1
QPR U18
23 Feb
Blackburn U18
1 : 0
Luton U18
10 Feb
Preston U18
1 : 2
Luton U18
Page 1 of 2

QPR U18

(Away)
27 Jan
QPR U18
0 : 2
Brighton U18
18 Jan
Arsenal U18
4 : 3
QPR U18
22 Jan
QPR U18
0 : 2
Burnley U18
18 Jan
Luton U18
3 : 1
QPR U18
12 Jan
Bournemouth U18
2 : 0
QPR U18
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Watford U18 3
Everton U18 1
Newcastle Utd U18 2
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 1
Chelsea U18 0
Sheffield Wed U18 3
Leicester U18 2
Manchester City U18 4
Brighton U18 1
Fleetwood Town U18 3
Middlesbrough U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Cardiff U18 1
AFC Wimbledon U18 1
Leeds U18 3
Ipswich U18 2
Nottingham U18 1
Port Vale U18 0
Liverpool U18 1
Stoke City U18 1
Manchester United U18 0
Burnley U18 0
West Ham U18 1
Luton U18 3
QPR U18 1
Gillingham U18 1
Preston U18 2
Aston Villa U18 1
Southampton U18 4
Sunderland U18 0
Fulham U18 2
1/8-finals
Watford U18 2
Arsenal U18 4
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Sheffield Wed U18 1
Manchester City U18 5
Fleetwood Town U18 0
Oxford Utd U18 3
Leeds U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
Liverpool U18 0
Stoke City U18 1
West Ham U18 4
Luton U18 2
Preston U18 3
Southampton U18 3
Fulham U18 2
Quarter-finals
Arsenal U18 3
Cambridge Utd U18 2
Manchester City U18 3
Oxford Utd U18 0
Ipswich U18 2
West Ham U18 4
Preston U18 1
Southampton U18 3
Semi-finals
Arsenal U18 2
Manchester City U18 1
West Ham U18 6
Southampton U18 1
Final
Arsenal U18 1
West Ham U18 5