Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luverdense U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense U20 2025
Luverdense U20 Logo

Luverdense U20

1 - 0
FT
Nova Mutum EC U20 Logo

Nova Mutum EC U20

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Luverdense U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Luverdense U20
35%
Draws
40%
Nova Mutum EC U20
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Nova Mutum EC U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Luverdense U20 haven't matched Nova Mutum EC U20's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Nova Mutum EC U20's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Nova Mutum EC U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Luverdense U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Luverdense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Nova Mutum EC U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luverdense U20 Nova Mutum EC U20
Matches Played 30 24
Wins 14 16
Draws 9 5
Losses 7 3
Goals Scored 1.97 3.29
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Luverdense U20
2:2
Aug 30, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Luverdense U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
1:0
Aug 12, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Luverdense U20 vs Nova Mutum EC U20
0:0
Jul 19, 2025 Matogrossense U20
Nova Mutum EC U20 vs Luverdense U20
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luverdense U20 10 / 100
Nova Mutum EC U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luverdense U20 Nova Mutum EC U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nova Mutum EC U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luverdense U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Luverdense U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Nova Mutum EC U20 let in goals in 54% of their last 24 matches.

Games between these two average 1.25 goals.

Scoring Trends

Luverdense U20 VS Nova Mutum EC U20
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Luverdense U20

(Home)
16 Sept
Athletico-PR U20
5 : 2
Luverdense U20
18 Jul
Cuiaba U20
1 : 1
Luverdense U20
12 Jul
Luverdense U20
1 : 5
Cuiaba U20
06 Jul
Luverdense U20
4 : 1
Sorriso EC U20
27 Jun
Sport Sinop U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
Page 1 of 6

Nova Mutum EC U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Nova Mutum EC U20
2 : 2
Luverdense U20
30 Aug
Luverdense U20
1 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
23 Aug
Nova Mutum EC U20
4 : 0
Campo Novo U20
17 Aug
Campo Novo U20
0 : 4
Nova Mutum EC U20
12 Aug
Luverdense U20
0 : 0
Nova Mutum EC U20
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Santa Cruz MT U20 3
Luverdense U20 6
Nova Mutum EC U20 8
Campo Novo U20 0
Mixto U20 3
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 4
Cuiaba U20 8
Chapada U20 0
Semi-finals
Luverdense U20 3
Nova Mutum EC U20 2
Uniao Rondonopolis U20 0
Cuiaba U20 8
Final
Luverdense U20 0
Cuiaba U20 9