Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luverdense vs Dom Bosco

Brazil Brazil

Matogrossense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Barros A.
36' Event
Joaozinho
45' Event
Anderson Montanha
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Luverdense in this Matogrossense 2024 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luverdense.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Luverdense
30%
Draws
35%
Dom Bosco
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Luverdense have won more games recently than Dom Bosco.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Luverdense taking it.
  • Regular Matogrossense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Luverdense here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Luverdense Clean Sheet 20%
Dom Bosco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luverdense Dom Bosco
Matches Played 43 32
Wins 22 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 1.14 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Dom Bosco
4:1
Mar 14, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense
0:1
Mar 11, 2023 Matogrossense
Luverdense vs Dom Bosco
3:1
Feb 7, 2023 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense
2:1
Feb 6, 2022 Matogrossense
Dom Bosco vs Luverdense
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luverdense Compare

Top Goalscorer Barros A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joaozinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Dom Bosco Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luverdense 42 / 100
Dom Bosco 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luverdense Dom Bosco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Dom Bosco conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Luverdense scored in 70% of their last 43 games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Luverdense went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luverdense VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
38% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luverdense

(Home)
26 Jul
ABC
4 : 1
Luverdense
18 Jul
Luverdense
0 : 0
ABC
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Luverdense
1 : 1
Ceilandia
Page 1 of 9

Dom Bosco

(Away)
05 Jul
Dom Bosco
3 : 0
Uirapuru
28 Jun
Acao
1 : 2
Dom Bosco
19 Jun
Dom Bosco
1 : 2
Cacerense
16 Jun
Várzea Grande EC
2 : 1
Dom Bosco
24 Feb
Luverdense
4 : 1
Dom Bosco
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uniao Rondonopolis 9 8 1 0 19:5 25
2 Cuiaba 9 5 4 0 20:8 19
3 Luverdense 9 5 2 2 15:9 17
4 Operario VG 9 4 2 3 10:10 14
5 Mixto 9 3 3 3 12:13 12
6 Nova Mutum EC 9 3 2 4 9:9 11
7 Primavera AC 9 1 5 3 5:8 8
8 Academia 9 2 0 7 8:14 6
9 Dom Bosco 9 1 3 5 6:18 6
10 Araguaia 9 1 2 6 4:14 5
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Matogrossense 2024 (Play Offs)