Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Stade Emile Mayrisch, Esch-sur-Alzette

Luxembourg U21

1 - 3

Iceland U21

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Thorsteinsson A.

Assist: Andresson B.

24'

Haraldsson H.

26'

Haraldsson H.

Assist: Gudmundsson E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Luxembourg U21 and Iceland U21 finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Iceland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%

Luxembourg U21

20%

Draws

57%

Iceland U21

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Iceland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Iceland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Iceland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
These two have met 4 times recently and Iceland U21 have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Luxembourg U21 Clean Sheet 12%

Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Luxembourg U21	Iceland U21
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	4	14
Draws	5	4
Losses	20	11
Goals Scored	0.59	1.79
Goals Conceded	2.24	1.34
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 13, 2025 Euro U21

Luxembourg U21 vs Iceland U21

1:3

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21

Iceland U21 vs Luxembourg U21

2:1

Oct 13, 2020 Euro U21

Luxembourg U21 vs Iceland U21

0:2

Sep 6, 2019 Euro U21

Iceland U21 vs Luxembourg U21

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luxembourg U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Goncalves M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Thorsteinsson A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Haraldsson H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg U21 10 / 100

Iceland U21 84 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Luxembourg U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iceland U21 Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Iceland U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Luxembourg U21's goal record stands at 45% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Luxembourg U21 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg U21 VS Iceland U21

1 Goals Scored 1.75

1.75 Goals Conceded 1

63% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg U21

(Home)

06 Jun

Kosovo U21

0 : 0

Luxembourg U21

26 Mar

Luxembourg U21

1 : 5

France U21

18 Nov

Luxembourg U21

2 : 1

Switzerland U21

13 Nov

Luxembourg U21

1 : 3

Iceland U21

14 Oct

Iceland U21

2 : 1

Luxembourg U21

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Iceland U21

(Away)

30 Mar

France U21

2 : 1

Iceland U21

26 Mar

Iceland U21

6 : 2

Estonia U21

13 Nov

Luxembourg U21

1 : 3

Iceland U21

14 Oct

Iceland U21

2 : 1

Luxembourg U21

10 Oct

Switzerland U21

0 : 0

Iceland U21

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