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Luxembourg W vs Montenegro W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Friendly International Women
Tue, Oct 13, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luxembourg W host Montenegro W in the Friendly International Women. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Luxembourg W at 1.37 goals for, 2.63 against; Montenegro W at 2.03 for, 1.93 against. Head-to-head, Luxembourg W have won 0 to Montenegro W's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2017, ending 1:7. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 2.63, favoring Montenegro W. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Luxembourg W
15%
Draws
85%
Montenegro W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montenegro W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Montenegro W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Montenegro W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Luxembourg W Clean Sheet 10%
Montenegro W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luxembourg W Montenegro W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.37 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.63 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2017 World Cup Women
Luxembourg W vs Montenegro W
1:7

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luxembourg W 10 / 100
Montenegro W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luxembourg W Montenegro W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montenegro W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Montenegro W let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 8.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Luxembourg W scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Away concern: Montenegro W has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg W VS Montenegro W
0.75 Goals Scored 1
4.25 Goals Conceded 3.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luxembourg W

(Home)
09 Oct
Malta W
1 : 0
Luxembourg W
09 Jun
Luxembourg W
0 : 7
Belgium W
05 Jun
Belgium W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
18 Apr
Luxembourg W
1 : 3
Israel W
14 Apr
Israel W
6 : 0
Luxembourg W
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Montenegro W

(Away)
09 Oct
Montenegro W
3 : 2
Bosnia & Herzegovina W
09 Jun
Albania W
5 : 2
Montenegro W
05 Jun
Montenegro W
1 : 1
Wales W
18 Apr
Montenegro W
1 : 4
Czech Republic W
14 Apr
Czech Republic W
5 : 0
Montenegro W
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