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Luzern II vs Cham

Switzerland Switzerland

Promotion League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Wiskemann M.
17' Event
Meyer S.
26' Event
Kalauz D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Promotion League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Luzern II
20%
Draws
73%
Cham
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Cham

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Cham have won more games recently than Luzern II.
  • Win probability leans Cham's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Luzern II Clean Sheet 10%
Cham Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern II Cham
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 7 12
Draws 9 6
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.64
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Cham
3:3
Oct 4, 2025 Promotion League
Cham vs Luzern II
3:1
May 24, 2025 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Cham
1:3
Nov 17, 2024 Promotion League
Cham vs Luzern II
3:4
Apr 20, 2024 Promotion League
Luzern II vs Cham
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern II Compare

Top Goalscorer Meyer S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kalauz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Cham Compare

Top Goalscorer Hegglin I.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Wiskemann M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern II 10 / 100
Cham 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern II Cham

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cham Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzern II scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Cham conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Recent resilience: Luzern II stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzern II VS Cham
1.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern II

(Home)
05 Sept
Breitenrain
1 : 0
Luzern II
30 Aug
Young Boys II
2 : 2
Luzern II
22 Aug
Luzern II
2 : 3
Bulle
15 Aug
Lugano II
4 : 3
Luzern II
08 Aug
Luzern II
0 : 2
Bruhl SG
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Cham

(Away)
29 Aug
Cham
1 : 1
Bellinzona
22 Aug
Cham
2 : 1
Grand-Saconnex
19 Aug
FC Kreuzlingen
1 : 2
Cham
16 Aug
Cham
2 : 0
Kriens
08 Aug
Cham
0 : 2
Paradiso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kriens 34 25 4 5 100:43 79
2 Bruhl SG 34 22 6 6 87:46 72
3 Biel 34 19 7 8 78:46 64
4 Basel II 34 17 8 9 65:48 59
5 Bavois 34 17 4 13 64:53 55
6 Young Boys II 34 15 9 10 66:52 54
7 Schaffhausen 34 16 5 13 51:46 53
8 Bulle 34 15 6 13 70:64 51
9 Cham 34 14 8 12 62:61 50
10 Grand-Saconnex 34 11 10 13 71:69 43
11 Zurich II 34 11 8 15 59:62 41
12 Breitenrain 34 11 8 15 47:51 41
13 Luzern II 34 10 10 14 80:83 40
14 FC Kreuzlingen 34 8 13 13 43:66 37
15 Lugano II 34 8 12 14 45:75 36
16 Paradiso 34 8 11 15 51:65 35
17 Lausanne II 34 9 4 21 60:84 31
18 Vevey 34 1 5 28 28:113 2
Promotion - Challenge League (Main)