Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzern vs Lausanne

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League 2025/2026 Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Dorn P.
Assist: Di Giusto M.
23' Event
Di Giusto M.
Assist: Kabwit O.
46'
Sub
Mollet F. In: Lekoueiry B.
Out: Mollet F.

AI Match Summary

The Super League 2025/2026 game between Luzern and Lausanne finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Luzern
30%
Draws
47%
Lausanne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lausanne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzern come out ahead of Lausanne on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Luzern Clean Sheet 10%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Lausanne
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 12
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
0:4
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
2:2
May 11, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorn P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Di Giusto M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Lausanne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 30 / 100
Lausanne 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Lausanne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lausanne Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Lausanne has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Solid form: Luzern remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Lausanne
1.5 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
09 Aug
St. Gallen
2 : 2
Luzern
02 Aug
Sion
3 : 0
Luzern
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
Page 1 of 6

Lausanne

(Away)
08 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 2
Young Boys
01 Aug
Basel
0 : 1
Lausanne
29 Jul
St Etienne
4 : 0
Lausanne
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Lausanne
3 : 0
Yverdon
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thun 33 24 2 7 75:37 74
2 St. Gallen 33 17 9 7 64:40 60
3 Lugano 33 16 9 8 50:38 57
4 Basel 33 15 8 10 51:45 53
5 Sion 33 13 13 7 51:35 52
6 Young Boys 33 13 9 11 65:60 48
7 Luzern 33 10 10 13 64:61 40
8 Servette 33 9 13 11 57:57 40
9 Lausanne 33 10 9 14 47:57 39
10 Zurich 33 10 4 19 45:63 34
11 Grasshoppers 33 6 9 18 40:65 27
12 Winterthur 33 4 7 22 35:86 19
Promotion - Super League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)