Sport Picks

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Luzern vs Lausanne

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Di Giusto M.
21'
Custodio O.
22'
Owusu T.

AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Luzern and Lausanne finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzern.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Luzern
30%
Draws
8%
Lausanne
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luzern

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Luzern carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Luzern are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Luzern have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Luzern Clean Sheet 15%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Lausanne
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 16 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 8 16
Goals Scored 2.17 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
1:0
May 2, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
0:4
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Giusto M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lausanne Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 84 / 100
Lausanne 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Lausanne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Lausanne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Luzern went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Lausanne
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
19 Sept
Luzern
5 : 1
Grasshoppers
13 Sept
Luzern
2 : 4
Basel
05 Sept
Young Boys
3 : 3
Luzern
02 Sept
Luzern
2 : 1
Vaduz
29 Aug
Servette
1 : 1
Luzern
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Lausanne

(Away)
20 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 4
Lugano
13 Sept
Lausanne
0 : 1
Servette
05 Sept
Vaduz
3 : 1
Lausanne
02 Sept
Thun
0 : 0
Lausanne
29 Aug
Lausanne
2 : 3
Zurich
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lugano 9 8 1 0 27:7 25
2 Young Boys 9 5 4 0 31:18 19
3 Sion 9 6 1 2 23:14 19
4 Basel 9 4 1 4 17:17 13
5 St. Gallen 9 4 1 4 16:19 13
6 Luzern 9 3 3 3 17:18 12
7 Zurich 9 3 2 4 14:20 11
8 Servette 9 3 1 5 11:13 10
9 Thun 9 3 1 5 15:23 10
10 Grasshoppers 9 2 2 5 13:24 8
11 Vaduz 9 2 0 7 18:21 6
12 Lausanne 9 1 3 5 7:15 6
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)