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Luzern vs Lausanne

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzern host Lausanne in the Super League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Lausanne have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Luzern have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.75. Head-to-head, Luzern have won 3 to Lausanne's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on May 2, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.63) point toward Luzern. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Luzern
40%
Draws
29%
Lausanne
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Luzern carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Luzern Clean Sheet 14%
Lausanne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern Lausanne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.75 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
1:3
Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
4:0
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Lausanne vs Luzern
0:4
Oct 19, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
2:2
May 11, 2025 Super League
Luzern vs Lausanne
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern 31 / 100
Lausanne 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern Lausanne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Lausanne conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Luzern stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luzern VS Lausanne
1.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern

(Home)
25 Jul
Luzern
1 : 3
Thun
18 Jul
Luzern
1 : 2
St. Truiden
10 Jul
Wil
0 : 2
Luzern
04 Jul
Luzern
3 : 2
Winterthur
27 Jun
Luzern
3 : 2
Lausanne Ouchy
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Lausanne

(Away)
25 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 1
Grasshoppers
18 Jul
Lausanne
3 : 0
Yverdon
11 Jul
Lausanne
1 : 2
Xamax
11 Jul
Lausanne
2 : 1
Breitenrain
08 Jul
Flamengo RJ
2 : 0
Lausanne
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Young Boys11004:23
2Thun11003:13
3Lugano11002:13
4St. Gallen11002:13
5Basel11001:03
6Lausanne10101:11
7Grasshoppers10101:11
8Zurich10011:20
9Vaduz10011:20
10Servette10010:10
11Sion10012:40
12Luzern10011:30
Promotion - Super League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Super League (Relegation Group)