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Luzern W vs Aarau W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzern W host Aarau W in the Super League Women. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Luzern W at 1.48 goals for, 2.17 against; Aarau W at 0.76 for, 2.31 against. Head-to-head, Luzern W have won 1 to Aarau W's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 5, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 2.50 vs 1.31, favoring Luzern W. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Luzern W
30%
Draws
31%
Aarau W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luzern W lately — more wins on the board than Aarau W.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Luzern W taking it.
  • Regular Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 18%
Aarau W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern W Aarau W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 3
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 21
Goals Scored 1.48 0.76
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Luzern W
0:1
Feb 20, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Aarau W
2:3
Sep 6, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Luzern W
1:1
Mar 15, 2025 Super League Women
Aarau W vs Luzern W
4:1
Oct 12, 2024 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Aarau W
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern W 49 / 100
Aarau W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern W Aarau W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Aarau W conceded in 90% of 29 recent games.

Luzern W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Luzern W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzern W VS Aarau W
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 3.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern W

(Home)
16 Oct
Servette W
4 : 1
Luzern W
03 Oct
Young Boys W
2 : 1
Luzern W
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
Page 1 of 6

Aarau W

(Away)
17 Oct
Aarau W
3 : 1
Basel W
03 Oct
Rapperswil-Jona W
5 : 2
Aarau W
19 Sept
Aarau W
1 : 2
Young Boys W
13 Sept
Yverdon W
4 : 1
Aarau W
09 Sept
St. Gallen W
2 : 2
Aarau W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 9 7 1 1 22:9 22
2 Zurich W 9 5 3 1 24:11 18
3 Young Boys W 9 5 3 1 17:12 18
4 Grasshopper W 9 5 2 2 25:11 17
5 Basel W 9 3 3 3 13:13 12
6 Luzern W 9 3 2 4 14:15 11
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 9 3 2 4 17:21 11
8 Yverdon W 9 2 2 5 15:18 8
9 St. Gallen W 9 1 1 7 8:24 4
10 Aarau W 9 1 1 7 10:31 4
Promotion - Super League Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women (Relegation)