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Luzern W vs Basel W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Sow C.
70' Event
Goppel L.
90' Event
Schallberger R.

AI Match Summary

The Super League Women game between Luzern W and Basel W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Basel W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Luzern W
35%
Draws
27%
Basel W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Basel W come out ahead of Luzern W on wins alone.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Luzern W taking it.
  • Regular Super League Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Basel W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 14%
Basel W Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern W Basel W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.55 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Basel W
1:2
Mar 14, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Basel W
1:2
Sep 27, 2025 Super League Women
Basel W vs Luzern W
2:2
Dec 7, 2024 Super League Women
Basel W vs Luzern W
3:0
Aug 31, 2024 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Basel W
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern W Compare

Top Goalscorer Schallberger R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Basel W Compare

Top Goalscorer Sow C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goppel L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern W 39 / 100
Basel W 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern W Basel W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzern W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzern W's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Luzern W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Basel W conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Luzern W VS Basel W
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern W

(Home)
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
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Basel W

(Away)
13 Sept
Zurich W
1 : 1
Basel W
09 Sept
Basel W
1 : 1
Grasshopper W
04 Sept
Basel W
1 : 0
St. Gallen W
29 Aug
Servette W
2 : 1
Basel W
14 Aug
Basel W
2 : 0
Young Boys W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 7 5 1 1 15:8 16
2 Zurich W 7 4 3 0 20:6 15
3 Grasshopper W 6 3 2 1 15:6 11
4 Luzern W 7 3 2 2 12:9 11
5 Basel W 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Young Boys W 6 2 3 1 10:8 9
7 Yverdon W 7 1 2 4 11:14 5
8 Rapperswil-Jona W 6 1 1 4 8:16 4
9 St. Gallen W 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
10 Aarau W 6 0 1 5 4:23 1
Promotion - Super League Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women (Relegation)