Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzern W vs Thun W

Switzerland Switzerland

Super League Women 2025/2026 Stadion Allmend, Luzern
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Heiniger A.
20' Event
Jost J.
21' Event
Carp C.

AI Match Summary

Thun W in this Super League Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Thun W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Luzern W
20%
Draws
36%
Thun W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Luzern W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Thun W have won more games recently than Luzern W.
  • Model gives Luzern W a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Luzern W Clean Sheet 10%
Thun W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzern W Thun W
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 1.55 1.47
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.93 1.97
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Super League Women
Thun W vs Luzern W
1:4
May 2, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Thun W
1:0
Feb 7, 2026 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Thun W
2:4
Sep 20, 2025 Super League Women
Thun W vs Luzern W
1:2
Mar 22, 2025 Super League Women
Luzern W vs Thun W
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzern W Compare

Top Goalscorer Carp C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fetaj G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.96

Thun W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jost J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schmid C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.79
Avg xA / game 1.09

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzern W 40 / 100
Thun W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzern W Thun W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luzern W scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Thun W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 34 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Luzern W has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Luzern W VS Thun W
2 Goals Scored 2.43
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.86
75% Over 1.5 86%
75% Over 2.5 71%
38% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzern W

(Home)
18 Sept
Luzern W
3 : 3
Yverdon W
13 Sept
Grasshopper W
0 : 0
Luzern W
09 Sept
Luzern W
2 : 0
Rapperswil-Jona W
05 Sept
Aarau W
0 : 1
Luzern W
28 Aug
Luzern W
3 : 1
St. Gallen W
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Thun W

(Away)
30 May
Sion W
1 : 6
Thun W
23 May
Thun W
1 : 4
Luzern W
17 May
Yverdon W
0 : 2
Thun W
09 May
Thun W
4 : 1
Sion W
02 May
Luzern W
1 : 0
Thun W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Servette W 18 15 2 1 42:5 47
2 Young Boys W 18 11 3 4 32:13 36
3 Basel W 18 10 5 3 23:13 35
4 Grasshopper W 18 10 3 5 33:22 33
5 Zurich W 18 8 5 5 33:20 29
6 St. Gallen W 18 7 5 6 25:28 26
7 Rapperswil-Jona W 18 3 7 8 19:30 16
8 Aarau W 18 2 5 11 11:28 11
9 Luzern W 18 2 4 12 21:50 10
10 Thun W 18 1 3 14 17:47 6
Promotion - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Super League Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)