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Luzi vs Burreli

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Kastrati E.
52' Event
Laho R.
61' Event
Balla H.

AI Match Summary

Luzi in this Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luzi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luzi
20%
Draws
40%
Burreli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Burreli haven't matched Luzi's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Luzi a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Luzi here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Luzi Clean Sheet 68%
Burreli Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzi Burreli
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 10 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.58
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Burreli
2:1
Feb 25, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Burreli
2:0
Nov 11, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Luzi
1:5
Mar 11, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Burreli vs Luzi
1:0
Oct 15, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Burreli
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luzi Compare

Top Goalscorer Laho R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Balla H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Burreli Compare

Top Goalscorer Kastrati E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzi 68 / 100
Burreli 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzi Burreli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzi's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Burreli conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Burreli's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Burreli
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzi

(Home)
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
08 May
Luzi
3 : 3
Vora
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Burreli

(Away)
03 May
Apolonia Fier
4 : 4
Burreli
25 Apr
Burreli
1 : 0
Lushnja
19 Apr
AF Luftetari
2 : 0
Burreli
11 Apr
Burreli
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
04 Apr
Laci
3 : 1
Burreli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AF Elbasani 33 24 7 2 76:32 79
2 Bylis 33 22 5 6 55:31 71
3 Flamurtari 33 16 10 7 46:29 58
4 Vora 33 15 5 13 61:50 50
5 Apolonia Fier 33 12 10 11 44:31 46
6 Korabi Peshkopi 33 12 8 13 42:38 44
7 Kastrioti 33 10 10 13 43:47 40
8 Burreli 33 12 4 17 28:43 40
9 Lushnja 33 10 8 15 38:53 38
10 Besa Kavaje 33 10 8 15 34:47 38
11 Luzi 33 9 4 20 41:56 31
12 Tomori Berat 33 4 5 24 21:72 17
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2024/2025 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2023/2024 (Relegation)