Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luzi vs Terbuni Puka

Albania Albania

First Division 2022/2023
Sun, Apr 23, 2023
3 - 0
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luzi host Terbuni Puka in the First Division 2022/2023. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Luzi at 1.61 goals for, 1.77 against; Terbuni Puka at 0.79 for, 1.86 against. Past meetings favor Luzi slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 23, 2023, ending 3:0. xG projections (2.10 - 1.29) back Luzi to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Luzi
15%
Draws
0%
Terbuni Puka
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Luzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luzi come out ahead of Terbuni Puka on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Luzi taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Luzi Clean Sheet 19%
Terbuni Puka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luzi Terbuni Puka
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 11 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 1.61 0.79
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 1.29
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2023 Kategoria e Parë
Luzi vs Terbuni Puka
3:0
Dec 11, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Terbuni Puka vs Luzi
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luzi 85 / 100
Terbuni Puka 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luzi Terbuni Puka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Luzi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Luzi found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

Terbuni Puka let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

Terbuni Puka's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Luzi VS Terbuni Puka
1.88 Goals Scored 1.33
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.33
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 67%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Luzi

(Home)
15 Oct
Iliria Kruja
5 : 1
Luzi
27 Apr
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Luzi
20 Nov
Bylis
3 : 1
Luzi
16 Oct
Luzi
5 : 0
Shkumbini Peqin
08 May
Luzi
3 : 3
Vora
Page 1 of 7

Terbuni Puka

(Away)
15 Oct
Kukesi
3 : 1
Terbuni Puka
16 Oct
Besa Kavaje
4 : 3
Terbuni Puka
18 Oct
Terbuni Puka
2 : 4
Vora
13 May
Terbuni Puka
0 : 3
KF Oriku
06 May
Dinamo City
3 : 0
Terbuni Puka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skenderbeu Korca 26 13 10 3 37:13 49
2 Dinamo City 26 14 5 7 48:23 47
3 Flamurtari 26 13 7 6 40:16 46
4 Tomori Berat 26 13 4 9 29:27 43
5 Korabi Peshkopi 26 10 9 7 32:24 39
6 Apolonia Fier 26 10 8 8 31:30 38
7 Luzi 26 10 8 8 31:26 38
8 Besa Kavaje 26 10 7 9 32:26 37
9 Lushnja 26 8 8 10 30:42 32
10 Burreli 26 7 10 9 22:29 31
11 KF Oriku 26 9 3 14 27:33 30
12 Turbina Cerrik 26 7 5 14 24:45 26
13 Beselidhja Lezha 26 3 8 15 17:41 14
14 Terbuni Puka 26 6 6 14 16:41 24
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2023/2024 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2022/2023 (Relegation)
Relegation - First Division 2022/2023 (Relegation)