Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luziania U20 vs Samambaia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Luziania U20 in this Brasiliense U20 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luziania U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Luziania U20
15%
Draws
85%
Samambaia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Samambaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Samambaia U20 lately — more wins on the board than Luziania U20.
  • Samambaia U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Brasiliense U20 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Luziania U20 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Luziania U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Samambaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania U20 Samambaia U20
Matches Played 32 33
Wins 7 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 19 8
Goals Scored 1.25 2.15
Goals Conceded 2.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.56 3.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 1, 2024 Brasiliense U20
Samambaia U20 vs Luziania U20
1:2
May 13, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Luziania U20 vs Samambaia U20
2:1
Jul 3, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Luziania U20 vs Samambaia U20
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania U20 10 / 100
Samambaia U20 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania U20 Samambaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samambaia U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Luziania U20 found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (32 games).

Samambaia U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Samambaia U20 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania U20 VS Samambaia U20
0.5 Goals Scored 2.88
4.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania U20

(Home)
26 Jul
Santa Maria U20
6 : 0
Luziania U20
18 Jul
Luziania U20
0 : 5
Real Brasilia U20
12 Jul
Brasilia U20
4 : 0
Luziania U20
04 Jul
Ceilandia U20
5 : 0
Luziania U20
28 Jun
Luziania U20
0 : 2
Paranoa U20
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Samambaia U20

(Away)
08 Aug
Real Brasilia U20
1 : 0
Samambaia U20
01 Aug
Samambaia U20
0 : 0
Real Brasilia U20
25 Jul
Legiao U20
1 : 4
Samambaia U20
18 Jul
Samambaia U20
8 : 0
Samambaense U20
11 Jul
Samambaia U20
6 : 0
Candango U20
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense U20 8 6 2 0 25:4 20
2 Canaa U20 8 6 2 0 20:6 20
3 Luziania U20 8 6 1 1 18:8 19
4 ARUC U20 8 4 0 4 14:11 12
5 Gremio Valparaiso U20 8 4 0 4 12:13 12
6 Botafogo DF U20 8 3 0 5 15:22 9
7 Samambaia U20 8 1 2 5 6:13 5
8 Brasilia U20 8 1 2 5 5:20 5
9 Ceilandense U20 8 0 1 7 6:24 1
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Capital DF U20 8 5 2 1 12:7 17
2 Gama U20 8 4 2 2 14:4 14
3 Santa Maria U20 8 4 2 2 15:9 14
4 Brazlandia U20 8 4 2 2 10:7 14
5 Paranoa U20 8 3 3 2 12:6 12
6 Real Brasilia U20 8 2 5 1 15:6 11
7 Planaltina U20 8 2 4 2 16:12 10
8 Legiao U20 8 2 0 6 8:18 6
9 Samambaense U20 8 0 0 8 4:37 0
Promotion - Brasiliense U20 2023 (Play Offs)