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Luziania vs Ceilandense

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2013
Luziania Logo

Luziania

2 - 1
FT
Ceilandense Logo

Ceilandense

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 game between Luziania and Ceilandense finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luziania.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Luziania
6%
Draws
4%
Ceilandense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Luziania

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luziania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Luziania are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Luziania have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Ceilandense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Ceilandense
Matches Played 40 33
Wins 11 5
Draws 9 6
Losses 20 22
Goals Scored 2.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2020 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Luziania
0:1
Feb 11, 2015 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandense
4:0
Jan 26, 2014 Brasiliense
Ceilandense vs Luziania
1:2
Feb 3, 2013 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandense
2:1
Feb 25, 2012 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Ceilandense
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 85 / 100
Ceilandense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Ceilandense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Luziania scored in 75% of their last 40 games.

Defensive concern: Ceilandense conceded in 76% of 33 recent games.

Luziania went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Ceilandense
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
11 Oct
Luziania
0 : 1
Planaltina
04 Oct
Luziania
2 : 0
Candango
27 Sept
Brasilia FC (DF)
2 : 1
Luziania
21 Sept
ARUC
0 : 0
Luziania
14 Sept
Luziania
0 : 0
Cruzeiro FC
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Ceilandense

(Away)
08 Mar
Ceilandense
1 : 3
Sobradinho
22 Feb
Samambaia
0 : 1
Ceilandense
16 Feb
Legiao
1 : 1
Ceilandense
12 Feb
Ceilandense
3 : 4
Paranoa
09 Feb
Brasiliense
2 : 0
Ceilandense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 3 2 1 5:3 11
2 Sobradinho 6 2 1 3 13:14 7
3 Luziania 6 2 1 3 5:6 7
4 Unai EC 6 1 2 3 7:10 5
5 Legiao 6 0 4 2 5:8 4
6 Botafogo DF 6 0 2 4 4:13 2
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasilia FC (DF) 6 5 1 0 11:4 16
2 Gama 6 3 3 0 12:7 12
3 Ceilandia 6 3 3 0 9:5 12
4 Capital 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
5 Ceilandense 6 2 1 3 10:8 7
6 Brazlandia 6 0 3 3 4:10 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2013 (First stage - Play Offs)