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Luziania vs Gremio Valparaiso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense 2
Luziania Logo

Luziania

0 - 6
FT
Gremio Valparaiso Logo

Gremio Valparaiso

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense 2 game between Luziania and Gremio Valparaiso finished 0-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gremio Valparaiso.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Luziania
30%
Draws
39%
Gremio Valparaiso
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gremio Valparaiso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Luziania carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Gremio Valparaiso here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Luziania Clean Sheet 17%
Gremio Valparaiso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Gremio Valparaiso
Matches Played 31 20
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 3
Losses 17 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.68 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Brasiliense 2
Luziania vs Gremio Valparaiso
0:6
Sep 6, 2025 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Luziania
0:4
Sep 28, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Gremio Valparaiso vs Luziania
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 36 / 100
Gremio Valparaiso 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Gremio Valparaiso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gremio Valparaiso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gremio Valparaiso conceded in 85% of 20 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Luziania found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Solid form: Luziania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Gremio Valparaiso
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.25
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
10 Oct
Luziania
7 : 0
Candango
03 Oct
Taguatinga
2 : 0
Luziania
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
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Gremio Valparaiso

(Away)
10 Oct
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 3
Canaa EC
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
0 : 2
Taguatinga
06 Sept
Gremio Valparaiso
1 : 1
Candango
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canaa EC 6 4 1 1 11:3 13
2 Taguatinga 6 4 1 1 10:2 13
3 Legiao 6 2 4 0 10:7 10
4 Planaltina 6 2 1 3 7:7 7
5 Luziania 6 2 1 3 10:11 7
6 Gremio Valparaiso 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
7 Candango 6 0 1 5 1:20 1
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