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Luziania vs Legiao

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2012
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Legiao in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Legiao.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Luziania
35%
Draws
45%
Legiao
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Legiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Legiao have won more games recently than Luziania.
  • Legiao are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Luziania Clean Sheet 20%
Legiao Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luziania Legiao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 8
Losses 17 14
Goals Scored 1.28 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Brasiliense 2
Legiao vs Luziania
0:0
Sep 18, 2024 Brasiliense 2
Legiao vs Luziania
1:0
Feb 9, 2014 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Luziania
0:2
Apr 6, 2013 Brasiliense
Legiao vs Luziania
2:1
Apr 14, 2012 Brasiliense
Luziania vs Legiao
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luziania 10 / 100
Legiao 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luziania Legiao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Legiao Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Legiao let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Luziania scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Luziania remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luziania VS Legiao
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luziania

(Home)
03 Oct
Taguatinga
2 : 0
Luziania
26 Sept
Canaa EC
2 : 1
Luziania
20 Sept
Luziania
0 : 6
Gremio Valparaiso
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
05 Sept
Luziania
2 : 1
Planaltina
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Legiao

(Away)
03 Oct
Planaltina
2 : 3
Legiao
26 Sept
Legiao
3 : 3
Gremio Valparaiso
19 Sept
Candango
0 : 2
Legiao
12 Sept
Legiao
0 : 0
Luziania
29 Aug
Canaa EC
1 : 1
Legiao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sobradinho 5 4 1 0 14:5 13
2 Legiao 5 3 0 2 9:4 9
3 Brasiliense 5 2 1 2 11:6 7
4 Luziania 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
5 Real Brasilia 5 1 1 3 5:17 4
6 Botafogo DF 5 1 0 4 8:15 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceilandia 5 4 1 0 12:5 13
2 Capital 5 3 1 1 8:6 10
3 Ceilandense 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
4 Gama 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
5 Brazlandia 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
6 Bosque Formosa 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2012 (Second stage - Play Offs)